Genoa vs Spezia Predictions

• Genoa have only scored eight league goals at home this season, while Spezia have only managed nine on their travels.
• The two teams shared a 1-1 draw in October, with that match producing just four shots on target, in total.
• Genoa are winless in 17 league games. Spezia have won one of their last nine, making both sides difficult to back with any confidence.

Don’t expect entertainment from basement clash

Genoa remain winless in 17 Serie A games and are in desperate need of three points, despite Andriy Shevchenko masterminding valuable draws against Atalanta and Sassuolo in their last two games.

On the face of it, Sunday’s clash with Spezia, who sit just four points above Genoa in the league table after their own run of one win in nine matches, represents an opportunity for the Ukrainian legend to finally claim his first Serie A win as coach; Spezia have lost seven of their 10 away league games this season, although the last of those saw them claim a superb smash-and-grab win at Napoli.

In October, these two sides produced a 1-1 draw which featured just four shots on target. With Genoa only managing eight goals in nine home league games this term, and Spezia only netting nine times on their 10 road trips, a goal-fest certainly isn’t anticipated.

Under 2.5 goals is the way to go

Relegation six-pointers are usually tense and nervous, and under 2.5 match goals seems a particularly strong punt on Sunday, considering the dearth of creativity on display. Only two Serie A teams have managed lower expected goals tallies than Genoa and Spezia, who are tied on 18.8 xG for the season to date.

With Genoa managing some impressive draws in recent weeks, a 1-0 home success, which would take Shevchenko’s men to within a point of their visitors, could be a worthwhile correct score play.

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