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Gent vs Roma Predictions

Published on 5:55pm GMT 27 February 2020

  • 17:55
  • Expired
  • Ghelamco Arena
Gent
    Roma
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      Gent Double Chance (Win or Draw)

      4/6odds when tipped
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      Draw 1-1

      13/2odds when tipped
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      Gent vs Roma Predictions

      • Gent have only lost 1 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.
      • Gent are unbeaten at home in the league this season (winning 11 and drawing 3).
      • Roma have failed to win 50% of their away games in Serie A.
      • Both teams have scored in 64% of Gent’s home games and 58% of Roma’s away games.

      Gent are very strong at home and Roma have been in poor form of late

      A solitary Carles Pérez strike in the 13th minute proved enough for Roma to take a narrow lead into the 2nd leg in Belgium this week, despite the fact that Gent had more shots on and off-target than their hosts. Roma’s form has been very poor of late with that win over Gent their only victory in their last six matches, while Thursday’s hosts have only lost one of their last six outings, picking up four wins and a draw.

      Gent are unbeaten at home in the league and after a good performance in Italy, the hosts will be confident of overturning the 1-goal deficit, especially as Roma have already dropped points in 50% of their away games this season. Gent average 2.57 points per home game while Roma average just 1.75 points per away game, so you can see why we have backed the Belgians with a double chance bet this Thursday.

      The hosts score an average of 2.64 goals per home game and concede 0.71 goals while Roma score an average of 1.75 goals per away game and concede an average of 1.08 goals, and we have backed the pair to play out a 1-1 draw on Thursday. Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 50% of Gent’s home games but 64% have seen both teams score, while 58% of Roma’s away trips have also ended with both teams on the scoreboard.

      A draw would suit Roma down to the ground

      Gent have kept clean sheets in 36% of their home games this season and are yet to fail to score in their own backyard, while Roma have kept clean sheets in 33% of their away games and have failed to score in 25%. Exactly 2-goals have been scored in 50% of Gent’s home matches and 17% of Roma’s away games, adding further weight to our prediction for a possible 1-1 draw between the pair this Thursday.

      A majority of Gent’s wins this season (13) have been obtained with a margin of 2 goals or more but Roma don’t tend to concede many goals away from home which is why we have limited both teams to just 1-goal apiece this week. 75% of Roma’s away games and 100% of Gent’s home matches have produced over 1.5 goals, which is why we have ruled out a 1-0 win either way or a goalless draw in the 2nd leg.

      We’re confident that a double chance bet on Gent is the best way to bet on Thursday’s match and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-1 between the pair. A draw would see Roma progress through to the next round and it’s unlikely the visitors will win the game seeing as Gent are yet to lose at home and played so well in the 1zst leg. We are expecting another closely fought ninety minutes and have backed Gent go undefeated at home once more, and believe the hosts are good enough to win the game and progress through to the next round if they play well enough.

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