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Georgia vs Gibraltar Predictions

  • 16:00
  • Expired
  • Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
  • Box Nation

Georgia -2

5/6odds when tipped
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Georgia 3-0

9/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Georgia are unbeaten in their last five games, winning four and conceding just one goal.
  • Gibraltar, meanwhile, have lost eight of their last 11 games, scoring three goals and failing to win.
  • The visitors have been beaten by three or more goals in five of their last six competitive games.

Gibraltar make step up

Having won promotion from League D of the UEFA Nations League in the last campaign, Gibraltar, ranked 203rd in the world and without a win since beating Liechtenstein in October 2020, travel to Georgia for their first game at this level. While the hosts are not known for being free scoring, they have been in superb form of late, and look set to provide the men from the Rock with a baptism of fire.

Indeed, Gibraltar have lost eight of their last 11 games, failing to record a single win and only scoring three goals. While Julio Cesar Ribas’ men have played some tough opponents in that time, including the Netherlands and Turkey, losing by three or more goals in five of their last six games is hardly ideal preparation for the step up to League C, nor is shipping six goals in two losses to Latvia, ranked some 50 places lower than Georgia by FIFA.

Georgia, meanwhile, have won four of their last five games, not losing any and recording encouraging results against previous tournament qualifiers Albania (0-0) and Bosnia-Herzegovina (a 1-0 win), as well as beating 2018 World Cup quarter-finalists Sweden 2-0. Willy Sagnol’s men have only conceded once in their last five outings, so a clean sheet looks certain, perhaps encouraging handicap backers.

Hosts should enjoy an easy ride

Considering the gulf in quality between the sides, a Georgia win looks nailed on, but the hosts’ tendency to ship goals by the bucketload means punters are advised to back the hosts -2.

A 3-0 win for Georgia, meanwhile, looks a strong correct score bet: these nations have met four times in the visitors’ short competitive history, and Georgia have never failed to score three or more goals.

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