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Lecce vs Cremonese Predictions

  • 13:00
  • Expired
  • Stadio Via del Mare
Lecce
Cremonese
  • BT Sport 5

Lecce vs Cremonese Predictions

Under 2.5 match goals at 4/5 – ★★☆

Lecce to win 1-0 at 13/2 – ★☆☆


  • Only two teams have scored fewer Serie A goals than Cremonese (five) this season. Lecce have netted just six times.
  • According to expected goals (xG), Lecce and Cremonese have been Serie A’s second- and third-worst attacking outfits this season, respectively.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of Lecce’s last six games.

Strugglers face early six-pointer

Having accompanied one another in winning promotion from Serie B last term, both Lecce and Cremonese appear set for a long struggle against the drop this campaign, and Sunday’s head-to-head meeting is already a six-pointer. While Lecce became the first of Serie A’s newly promoted teams to win a match this season last time out, neither of these sides have excelled going forward, and a tight affair is expected.

Indeed, Lecce have seen under 2.5 goals scored in five of their last six games, netting just six goals all season – only four teams have scored fewer in the Italian top-flight. Furthermore, Lecce’s tally of 5.1 expected goals (xG) created is the second-worst in the league, though Marco Baroni’s men can at least lay claim to a sense of solidity after losing just one of their last five matches (one win, three draws).

Cremonese are among the teams to possess an attacking record worse than that of Lecce, with only two teams scoring fewer than their four goals this term. Having created a mere 5.8 xG, Cremonese have taken just two points from their seven outings since promotion, and have seen under 2.5 goals scored in two of their last three games, netting one goal themselves.

Cagey affair likely

Given both Lecce and Cremonese are almost certain to be fighting relegation this season, as well as both teams’ poor attacking records, backing under 2.5 goals to be scored in a nervy contest appears a prudent play.

Meanwhile, Lecce have at least remained competitive so far – failing to lose a single game by more than one goal and avoiding defeat in back-to-back home games, so they could be worth backing for a 1-0 win.


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