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Lugo vs Malaga Predictions

  • 16:15
  • Expired
  • Estadio Anxo Carro

Under 2.5 Match Goals

8/13odds when tipped
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Draw 1-1

9/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Only one of Lugo’s last five matches has contained three or more goals
  • There have been three or more strikes in just four of the last 11 Malaga away fixtures
  • Lugo’s 20 home league games have provided only 40 goals

Lugo enduring a torrid run

It’s been a desperately poor end to the season for Lugo, who are without a win in six and could yet finish in 18th place, just one position above the relegation zone.

Their goal scoring exploits have been particularly disappointing, netting just 21 times in 20 outings at Ángel Carro, where they have failed to score more than one in their last eight.

Indeed, only one of those fixtures has contained three or more goals, as have just three of their last ten at all venues, showing they do not concede too many either.

Malaga aiming for rare away win

Malaga have picked up just four victories on the road this season, while only four teams have scored fewer than their total of 18 goals.

A third of those strikes have come in their last three fixtures, but Pablo Guede’s side have netted more than once on just five occasions in 20 Segunda away games.

60% of their last 10 on their travels have contained fewer than three goals, as have 11 of their last 15 at all venues, showing goals do tend to come a premium.

I predict there will be fewer than three goals in this game, but it is quite hard to separate the two sides, with 1-1 my correct score prediction.

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