Luxembourg vs Macedonia Betting TIps

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Luxembourg
    Macedonia

      Tip Reasoning

      Luxembourg will be hoping that they can pounce on their best opportunity of winning a game in Euro 2016 Qualification when they host 5th place Macedonia.

      So far, their points tally stands at one point from their opening six games, with a 1-1 draw at home to Belarus in the opening match of Group C being their only positive result.

      They lost their next five Group C matches, with two friendly losses and a friendly draw making it 7 losses in their last 8 games.

      They haven’t won a match since they played Northern Ireland in World Cup qualifiers back in 2013.

      But they held their own against Macedonia in the return fixture. The game ended 3-2 to Macedonia, but Luxembourg led 2-1 at half time and matched the home side pretty well for possession and shots on goal.

      The two teams have faced each other three times in the last seven years, with Macedonia winning twice and Luxembourg claiming victory in the remaining friendly in 2012.

      Macedonia’s only points of their qualification campaign came from that 3-2 victory over Luxembourg almost a year ago. They have lost five games since then, conceding seven goals and scoring twice.

      This puts them in 5th place in Group C, with Luxembourg propping the group up from below and Belarus sitting a point above them in 4th.

      Macedonia are touted as the favourites for this matchup, with bet365 putting their odds of winning at 4/5. We disagree with these odds, and see the teams as fairly equal when on Luxembourg’s turf.

      This makes odds of 21/20 for a Luxembourg Win or Draw Double Chance look very valuable. Over 2.5 Goals at 43/40 could also be a good bet considering that each of their last three meetings have ended with three or more goals.

      If you want to go for longer odds, a Luexmbourg Win and Over 2.5 Goals at a huge 7/1 look like they offer value, however backing Luxembourg to get something out of this game seems like the best bet.

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