Manchester United vs Leeds Predictions

• United have won their last five home games
• Leeds have won only once on their travels this season
• Fernandes has had a hand in six goals across his last four appearances

Rust or rest for Red Devils?

Manchester United face their first fixture in 25 days on Monday night, having been given a watching brief since the opening match of the last round of league action. With no European or FA Cup fixtures, the Red Devils have had plenty of time to prepare for the visit of Leeds.

The visitors have played twice since United’s last game, including a penalty shoot-out win at West Ham in last weekend’s FA Cup quarter-finals. Daniel Farke’s side are without a league win in over two months, which has left them firmly in the relegation dogfight.

No side has picked up more Premier League points in 2026 than United, but the Red Devils have won only one of their last three games, dating back to the 4th of March. Michael Carrick’s side should have plenty in the tank for the run-in, but they need to shake off any rustiness ahead of a key game.

Little faith in Leeds on the road

Home form has been key to Leeds’ success this term, which has compensated for their struggles on the road. A 3-1 victory at bottom side Wolves in September is their only league win away from Elland Road this season.

While they’ve drawn their last four away trips, only Burnley and Wolves have picked up fewer points on their travels. The visitors have shipped eight goals across their defeats at Arsenal and Man City, while they’ve conceded close to two goals per game overall.

Fernandes can lead from the front again

United have won all five of their home games under Michael Carrick, and they’ve scored at least twice in each of those victories. His approach of putting together a fluid trio of attackers ahead of Bruno Fernandes has been incredibly effective, while Benjamin Sesko has been a real scoring threat late on from the bench.

Fernandes has scored five of his eight Premier League goals at Old Trafford this season, and he netted from the penalty spot against Bournemouth last time out. He’s had a hand in six goals across his last four games under Carrick, while he’s found the net in clashes against strugglers like Burnley, Wolves, and Tottenham.

Fernandes should be backed to continue his fine form in front of goal, and he can inspire United to a sixth straight win at Old Trafford. With seven of Leeds’ last eight away trips across all competitions seeing both teams score, the hosts are backed for a 2-1 win after conceding in three of their last four home fixtures.