Moreirense vs Vitoria Setubal Predictions

• Moreirense have only drawn 1 of their last 6 matches.
• Vitoria Setubal have only drawn 1 of their last 6 matches.
• Moreirense have won 4 and lost 3 at home this season.
• Vitoria Setubal have won 3 and lost 4 on the road this season.

Moreirense have scored in all of their home games

Moreirense thrashed Gil Vicente 5-1 away last time out while Vitoria Setubal were beaten 4-0 at home by title-challengers Porto, meaning the gap between the two clubs was reduced to 4pts ahead of Sunday’s clash. These two sides drew a fair few games earlier in the season but have each only drawn one of their last six outings in all competitions.

The hosts have won four and lost three of their nine home games so far this season while Vitoria Setubal have won three and lost four of their nine away games, so you can already see why we have backed a double chance bet for either side to win this weekend. Moreirense have lost their last two home games but hammered Gil Vicente on the road in their last outing while Setubal have won back to back games away from home.

Moreirense average 1.56 points per home game and Setubal average 1.22 points per away game, with the hosts winning 44% of those matches and the visitors winning 33% of theirs. Moreirense score an average of 1.67 goals per home game and concede 1.44 goals while Setubal score an average of 0.89 goals per away game and concede an average of 1.33 goals, which is why we have backed a narrow final scoreline of 1-0 this weekend.

Vitoria Setubal have failed to find the back of the net in over half of their away games

Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 44% of Setubal’s away games and only 22% have seen both teams score, adding further weight to our prediction for a low-scoring ninety minutes this Sunday. The hosts have kept clean sheets in 22% of their home games and the visitors have kept clean sheets in 33% of their away games but tellingly, Moreirense haven’t failed to score at home this season while Setubal have failed to score in 56% of their away games.

Exactly 1-goal has been scored in 33% of Setubal’s away games and a majority of Moreirense’s wins this season (3) have been obtained with a 1-goal margin, while Setubal have twice lost via a 1-goal margin. Only 22% of the hosts’ home and the visitors’ away games have ended in stalemates so far this season and we can’t see the pair playing out a draw on Sunday.

We’re confident that a double chance bet on a Moreirense or a Setubal win is the best way to go this weekend and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of the hosts. The hosts tend to win or lose when playing at home and the same can be said for the visitors on the road, and we have gone with a 1-0 win for Moreirense as they haven’t failed to score so far this season and their guests have failed to score in over half of their away games. However, this match feels like it could go either way and the double chance bet covers us for both outcomes.