Napoli vs Lecce Predictions

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  • Sun 9 Feb
      • Premier Sports 2

      Napoli Over 2.5 Team Goals

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      Napoli 3-1

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      Tip Reasoning

      • Napoli won four of their last five games in all competitions.
      • The Partenopei battered Lecce 4-1 back in September.
      • Lecce conceded three or more goals in 75% of their last four away games.
      • Napoli kept just four clean sheets in their last 20 fixtures in all competitions.

      Napoli returning to form

      After a season heavily dusted with inconsistency, things have started to look up for Napoli in recent weeks ahead of their meeting with 4th from bottom Lecce on Sunday.

      The Partenopei carry a record of four wins from their last five into their latest test this weekend, and three wins on the trot in their last trio of games against Lazio, Juventus and Sampdoria has pushed the team’s confidence to its highest levels of the campaign so far.

      Napoli’s impressive 2-1 victory over the defending champions in Naples at the end of January felt like a season-definer, and having scored twice late on to secure a 4-2 win at Sampdoria straight after their win against the Old Lady, Gennaro Gattuso’s charges look primed for a strong finish to the campaign.

      Napoli meet a Lecce side fresh from a resounding victory of their own on Sunday. I Salentini smashed home four goals without reply past a Torino team that were going through the motions at the Stadio Via del Mare, though goals and points have been much harder for them to come by on the road.

      Lecce leaking plenty of goals on the road

      Lecce were beaten in each of their last four domestic fixtures away from home, failing to score in any of the most recent three, while conceding a whopping 13 times at the other end against some uninspiring opponents.

      SPAL (5-1), Brescia (3-0), Parma (2-0) and Verona (3-0) all put Lecce to the sword with worrying ease, and an invigorated and much higher quality Napoli team are capable of running up just as high a score against Lecce this weekend.

      Napoli recorded a comfortable 4-1 win against Lecce when the teams met in Apulia back in September, and with Lecce’s defence looking incredibly porous in away matches since November, we think the Partenopei could fill their boots again.

      Napoli to find final third joy

      With the factors at play considered, we think the Napoli over 2.5 team goals market holds plenty of value for Sunday’s game, while our correct score prediction points towards a 3-1 home triumph.

      Only Genoa (43) have conceded more goals overall than Lecce (42) in Serie A so far this term, and I Salentini’s backline has been at sixes and sevens on the road over the past few months, shipping three or more goals in four of their last six away matches overall since their 2-4 battering at Lazio on November 11th.

      Napoli’s record of just four clean sheets in their last 20 fixtures in all competitions points to defensive weaknesses of their own however, and having bagged a consolation goal against them in September, we’re tipping Lecce to notch another on Sunday.

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