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Napoli vs Spezia Predictions

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • Stadio San Paolo
Napoli
Spezia

Napoli -1

8/11odds when tipped
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£18.00
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Napoli 3-0

15/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Spezia are winless in seven games, losing five of them, and have not won on the road since mid-September.
  • Only Salernitana have conceded more than the 39 goals shipped by the visitors this season, with a massive 27 of those goals being conceded in their nine away matches.
  • Despite their recent injury woes, Napoli claimed a massive win at AC Milan on Sunday, and their record of six home wins in nine remains one of the best records in Serie A.

Depleted Napoli claim vital win

Despite an injury crisis depriving them of numerous players, Napoli claimed a massive 1-0 win at San Siro on Sunday to leapfrog AC Milan into second place in Serie A. Their injury problems are beginning to heal, with the likes of Andre-Frank Anguissa, Hirving Lozano and Piotr Zielinski all starting in that triumph, and they will be confident of another win when lowly Spezia come to town.

Spezia have conceded 39 goals this season, more than everyone but rock-bottom Salernitana, and have not won any of their last seven competitive games, a run which includes a 2-0 cup loss to Serie B side Lecce. Furthermore, a mammoth 27 goals have been shipped by Spezia in just nine away matches this term, of which they’ve won one, at Venezia.

The likes of Verona, Atalanta, Fiorentina, Lazio, Inter, and Roma have all beaten a -1 handicap in home games against Spezia this term. Napoli have scored the fifth-most goals in Serie A, averaging almost two per game in front of their own fans. With many of their influential attackers returning to fitness, they’re a strong bet to follow in their rivals’ footsteps on Wednesday.

Back Napoli for a comfortable night

Napoli hammered Spezia 4-1 back in May, and should be set for another dominant win over Thiago Motta’s men on Wednesday night. Backing Napoli to overcome a -1 handicap is the most solid play for this encounter, after which Luciano Spalletti will be able to focus on getting the rest of his key men fit ahead of the season’s resumption in January.

In terms of a correct score prediction, Spezia are facing Serie A’s strongest defensive outfit, and so a 3-0 defeat for the strugglers looks a good value punt.


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