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Northern Ireland vs San Marino Predictions

Published on 1:00pm GMT 14 October 2023

  • 13:00
  • Expired
  • Windsor Park
Northern Ireland
San Marino
  • Viaplay Sports 1

San Marino +4

Reason for tip

Northern Ireland should win but San Marino can at least avoid a thrashing. Since a 10-0 hammering against England, the visitors have only suffered four defeats by four or more goals in 16 games. Northern Ireland have only scored four goals in six qualifiers and won the reverse fixture 2-0, so San Marino can beat a +4 handicap.

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Northern Ireland 3-0

Reason for tip

San Marino haven’t scored a goal in qualifying and that is unlikely to change in Belfast. Northern Ireland won the reverse fixture 2-0 and can go one better and record a 3-0 victory in front of their own fans.

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Northern Ireland vs San Marino Predictions

  • Northern Ireland won the reverse fixture 2-0.
  • San Marino have been beaten by three goals or less in 12 of their last 16 games.
  • San Marino have scored one goal in their last 21 games.

Northern Ireland face minnows San Marino

Northern Ireland’s hopes of reaching Euro 2024 are now purely mathematical ahead of their meeting with San Marino on Saturday.

Michael O’Neill’s men won the reverse fixture 2-0 but have lost their other five games, while San Marino have lost all six of their games – shipping 21 goals without scoring themselves.

The hosts are the huge favourites here so the handicap markets look like the only way to really approach this tie.

Backing San Marino with a +4 handicap has a chance here. The visitors have lost 4-0 to both Slovenia and Denmark in their last two games but may fare marginally better against Northern Ireland. The hosts have scored just four goals in total in their qualification campaign and only won 2-0 in the reverse meeting. San Marino will clearly set up to defend, and they can at least avoid a total humiliation at Windsor Park.

If San Marino do beat a +4 handicap it will be close and it is hard to see the visitors getting on the scoresheet, so a 3-0 win for Northern Ireland is the correct score prediction.


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