Plymouth Argyle vs Rotherham Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

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Plymouth Argyle
Rotherham

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

Rotherham have been pretty much guaranteed a place in the play-offs for some time, but that hasn’t stopped them from performing well of late. The Millers come into this match unbeaten in four, three of which they’ve won. With the pressure off, Paul Warne’s men should be able to go out at Home Park and play with freedom. The same cannot be said for the hosts, who’ve begun to feel the pressure of late.

Unlike Rotherham, who can enjoy the last few weeks of the season before they get down to business in the play-offs, Plymouth are in an uncertain position. As they currently sit outside of the top six by two points, the Pilgrims need to win here and hope that either Scunthorpe or Charlton slip up. As far as their own form is concerned, Derek Adams’ men have slipped up somewhat of late. They disappointingly lost to Northampton last weekend, while they weren’t at their best away at Rochdale during the week.

At the prices, the prospect of away goals catches the eye on this occasion. Not only have Rotherham had extra time to prepare for this match, but the fact that they carry no pressure could really allow them to thrive, much as it did last weekend. Paul Warne’s men are somewhat adaptable, which is part of the reason as to why they’re so tough to face. They’re capable of dominating with the ball, but they’re also deadly on the break after letting teams come onto them. On this occasion, the latter could prove fruitful.

With the hosts needing nothing other than a win, they will be forced to come forward. Plymouth can hurt teams and they may well be able to get at Rotherham, but they will be playing with fire somewhat. Aside from Wigan and Blackburn, Rotherham, who’ve recorded the third most shots on target this season, are the most dangerous side in League One. The visitors won’t need asking twice if Plymouth leave themselves open, as they have done in each of their last few matches.

Keeping Rotherham out really should be a worry for Plymouth. The Pilgrims have tended to be far more open on their own patch, as the fact they’ve conceded more goals than anyone else in the top half suggests. They’ve also shown a tendency to struggle defensively against teams who can hurt on the break, conceding at least twice at home against, Wigan, Bristol Rovers, Oxford, Fleetwood, Blackpool and Scunthorpe.

In truth, Plymouth are unfortunate that what is arguably their most important match of the season has ended up being against one of the divisions’ most deadly attacking teams. The hosts will undoubtedly try and go for it, but by being open they’ll only leave the door open for the attack-minded Millers, who, at the prices, are well worth backing to notch a couple of goals.

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