PSG vs Inter Milan Predictions

• Inter Milan have lost on shots, shots on target, and expected goals in each of their last four Champions League fixtures.
• PSG have won their last four games, scoring at least three goals in three of them.
• Ousmane Dembele has 33 goals in all competitions this season.

Les Parisiens target historic treble

PSG picked up their second trophy of the season with a 3-0 win over Reims on Saturday, but the most coveted prize in Europe still hangs in the balance as the French side look to lay their hands on the Champions League trophy for the first time in their history.

A far cry from the underperforming, big-money superstars of years gone by, this youthful PSG side have already seen off the likes of Liverpool and Arsenal this season, and they look good value to go the distance against an Inter Milan side that have ridden their luck in this competition.

Inter ride their luck en route to the final

The Nerazzurri, who failed to win the Serie A title in the final round of fixtures on Friday, beat Barcelona in a 7-6 aggregate thriller in the semi-finals, but they lost the shot count 41-19 across the two legs, having nine shots on target to Barca’s 19 and generating 1.2 expected goals less than their opponents.

The same was true in their quarter-final win over Bayern Munich, with the Italians losing on shots, shots on target, and expected goals in both legs, and their good fortune could come to an end in Munich on Saturday.

Ballon d’Or hopeful Dembele could shine in Munich

Les Parisiens head to the final on the back of a four-match winning streak in which they have scored 12 goals, and Inter will be reeling after their failure to defend the Scudetto on Friday. The fact that PSG, who wrapped up the Ligue 1 title weeks ago, have been able to keep their key figures fresh after a congested season could play a part, too, and backing them to win inside the 90 minutes looks a good play.

Luis Enrique’s side have only kept one clean sheet in their last five, though, so a clean sheet may be beyond them, but Inter conceded three goals in both legs against Barcelona and Saturday’s favourites have scored exactly three goals in their last two, making a 3-1 correct score prediction stand out.

Ousmane Dembele is one of the favourites for the Ballon d’Or this season, and the resurgent Frenchman could be the difference-maker in Munich. He has scored 33 goals in all competitions this season, eight of which came in the Champions League, and looks the best anytime goalscorer option.