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Roma vs AC Milan Predictions

  • 16:00
  • Expired
  • Stadio Olimpico
Roma
AC Milan
  • BT Sport 2

Roma Draw No Bet

Reason for tip

Roma have won eight of their last nine home games across all competitions, keeping seven clean sheets during that run. AC Milan, meanwhile, have only won one of their last six away games and only beaten one of their fellow top-seven teams on the road in Serie A this term. Punters should, however, beware the draw; five of Milan’s last nine games have ended level.

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Roma 1-0

Reason for tip

Roma have kept seven clean sheets in their last nine at home, and no Italian top-flight team can better their tally of just nine goals conceded in home matches this season. All nine of the Giallorossi’s league victories since the World Cup break, meanwhile, have been accompanied by shutouts.

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Roma vs AC Milan Predictions

  • Roma have won eight of their last nine home matches across all competitions (L1).
  • AC Milan have only won one of their last six on the road, posting three draws and two defeats.
  • The Rossoneri have recorded five draws in their last nine games across all competitions.
  • Milan and Roma played out a thrilling 2-2 draw when they last met in January.

Top four battle takes centre-stage in Rome

With the Scudetto a foregone conclusion for some time, the most enticing battle being waged in Serie A is undoubtedly that to secure Champions League qualification, with both Milan clubs, Roma, Lazio, Juventus and Atalanta seemingly fighting for three spots in Europe’s premier club competition. On Saturday, a head-to-head meeting between two sides on opposite sides of the crucial cut-off point – Roma in fifth and AC Milan in fourth – promises much, especially at a packed Stadio Olimpico.

Roma’s hopes of a top-four finish suffered a blow as they were beaten 3-1 at Atalanta on Monday despite dominating for long periods. Jose Mourinho’s team, however, are a different proposition at home. With the Olimpico generating perhaps Italy’s most raucous atmosphere when the Giallorossi take to the field, they have won eight of their last nine home games, keeping seven clean sheets during that sequence. Furthermore, Roma emerged the happier side from January’s return fixture against Milan, fighting back to draw 2-2 after trailing by two goals with three minutes remaining at San Siro.

Indeed, Milan were a genuine threat to Napoli’s title aspirations prior to that result, which caused a crisis of confidence at San Siro and paved the way for Stefano Pioli’s champions to drop into the battle for a top-four finish. Milan have rediscovered some consistency of late, going six games unbeaten, but five of their last nine have finished level, and they possess a poor record on the road. Indeed, the Rossoneri have only won on one of their last six road trips (D3 L2), a surprise 4-0 rout of Napoli.

Giallorossi worth backing – but beware the draw

Roma have taken 31 of their 56 points at home this term, only losing once on their own turf in Serie A since the World Cup break. With Mourinho hoping to have star forward Paulo Dybala back in his starting lineup after an injury setback, Roma may be worth backing ahead of this huge encounter.

Indeed, Milan have only won one of their four away games against fellow top-seven teams in Serie A this campaign, though their plethora of recent stalemates may persuade punters to turn to the draw no bet market.

Meanwhile, Roma’s remarkable defensive record in front of their own fans could continue with a solid 1-0 success.


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