Scotland vs Switzerland Predictions

• Switzerland have won 13 of their last 20 matches, reaching the World Cup quarter-finals last summer
• Scotland conceded 6.4 xG across their three World Cup games on the way to a group stage exit
• The hosts did generate 2.16 xG in their draw with Slovenia on Saturday
• Both teams have scored in nine of Switzerland’s last 13 matches

Swiss targeting short second-tier stay

Switzerland played their first game in the second tier of the Nations League on Saturday, easing to a 3-0 victory in North Macedonia. They played in the top tier across the first four editions of this competition, and they’re targeting promotion on the back of a run to the quarter-finals of the World Cup.

Scotland failed to make their chances pay in their opener, as they drew 0-0 in Slovenia despite dominating the game. Sebastien Pocognoli’s second game in charge is a much tougher test, but the fact they generated 2.16 Expected Goals in Ljubljana was encouraging.

The hosts looked out of their depth at this summer’s World Cup, conceding 6.4 xG across their three matches, which included defeats to Morocco and Brazil.

Neither of those sides went further than the Swiss, who have won 13 of their last 20 internationals. The visitors have seen both teams score in nine of their previous 13, so this could be a high-scoring clash.

Each of Scotland’s last four competitive home games has finished with both sides scoring, so back the Swiss to win and concede.