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St Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Published on 12:36pm GMT 1 May 2026

  • 13:30
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  • Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli
    FSV Mainz 05

      FSV Mainz 05 to Win

      Reason for tip

      Mainz look the best bet away at St Pauli. The hosts are winless in seven and have lost four of their last six, while also struggling badly for goals. Mainz travel well, losing only one of their last six away league games, and they have dominated this matchup defensively in recent meetings. With St Pauli’s home record underwhelming and their attack blunt, Mainz should have the edge.

      8/5odds when tipped
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      FSV Mainz 05 2-0

      Reason for tip

      Mainz 2-0 is the correct-score pick. St Pauli’s games are often tight, with six of their last eight finishing under 2.5 goals, and they frequently fail to score. They have already suffered multiple 2-0 defeats this season, which fits their pattern. Mainz have kept clean sheets in the last three meetings between the sides and should create enough to score twice against a fragile defence, making a controlled away win without reply the most likely outcome.

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      St Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

      Mainz can take control at St Pauli

      Mainz are the best bet to win at St Pauli on Sunday. The hosts have been poor at home in the Bundesliga, where they have won just four of 15 games, and Mainz have won four of their 15 away matches.

      Mainz are six places and eight points above St Pauli, but both teams have lost more games than they’ve won this season. Mainz, in tenth place, have won eight and lost 13 of their 31 games, while St Pauli have six wins and 17 defeats.

      St Pauli could not break their losing habit last weekend, going down 2-0 to Heidenheim in their latest Bundesliga outing. This was a disappointing result for St Pauli, who had been priced at 19/10 to win, and means they have now lost 12 of the 15 games this season in which they’ve shipped the first goal (80%).

      Mainz have only lost one of their last six Bundesliga away games.

      They have kept clean sheets in the last three Bundesliga meetings with St Pauli.

      St Pauli are struggling to get results at the moment, with four of their last six Bundesliga matches ending in defeat. They have now gone seven games without a win.

      Their struggles in front of goal are a major concern. No team has failed to score in more Bundesliga games this season than St Pauli (13 in 31), and they have managed just 15 goals at home from 15 games, an average of exactly one goal a game.

      A 2-0 away win for Mainz looks a decent correct-score option. Six of St Pauli’s last eight Bundesliga matches have ended with under 2.5 goals, and they have suffered four 2-0 losses in the league this season.


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      Edited by Mark Langdon

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