St Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions
Published on 12:36pm GMT 1 May 2026
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St Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Predictions
Mainz can take control at St Pauli
Mainz are the best bet to win at St Pauli on Sunday. The hosts have been poor at home in the Bundesliga, where they have won just four of 15 games, and Mainz have won four of their 15 away matches.
Mainz are six places and eight points above St Pauli, but both teams have lost more games than they’ve won this season. Mainz, in tenth place, have won eight and lost 13 of their 31 games, while St Pauli have six wins and 17 defeats.
St Pauli could not break their losing habit last weekend, going down 2-0 to Heidenheim in their latest Bundesliga outing. This was a disappointing result for St Pauli, who had been priced at 19/10 to win, and means they have now lost 12 of the 15 games this season in which they’ve shipped the first goal (80%).
Mainz have only lost one of their last six Bundesliga away games.
They have kept clean sheets in the last three Bundesliga meetings with St Pauli.
St Pauli are struggling to get results at the moment, with four of their last six Bundesliga matches ending in defeat. They have now gone seven games without a win.
Their struggles in front of goal are a major concern. No team has failed to score in more Bundesliga games this season than St Pauli (13 in 31), and they have managed just 15 goals at home from 15 games, an average of exactly one goal a game.
A 2-0 away win for Mainz looks a decent correct-score option. Six of St Pauli’s last eight Bundesliga matches have ended with under 2.5 goals, and they have suffered four 2-0 losses in the league this season.

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Edited by Mark Langdon
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