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Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Published on 5:37pm GMT 3 May 2026

  • 19:00
  • Expired
  • Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
  • TNT Sports 5

Strasbourg to Win

Reason for tip

Strasbourg need to win after a 1-0 defeat in Spain last week, and they host a Vallecano side that has suffered 10 of their 12 league defeats away from home this season. Rayo have lost seven of 10 visits to the top 10, and Strasbourg picked up a third win in four home games in Europe with a victory over Mainz in the last round.

19/20odds when tipped
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Strasbourg 1-0

Reason for tip

Six of Strasbourg’s eight wins in Europe this season have come by a single goal, so this game could potentially go to extra-time. Rayo have lost their previous two second legs without being eliminated, so a 1-0 home win appeals following a cagey opener last week.

7/1odds when tipped
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Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions

  • Rayo have lost 10 times away from home in La Liga this season
  • The Spaniards have lost seven of their 10 visits to the top 10
  • Strasbourg have won three of their previous four home games in Europe

Expect more from Strasbourg at home

Strasbourg didn’t offer a lot in the opening salvo of this Conference League semi-final. The French outfit generated just 0.21 Expected Goals at Rayo Vallecano, losing the shot-count 24-5.

Gary O’Neil’s side were fortunate to come out of that trip only a goal down, and that narrow margin offers them hope in the second-leg.

Vallecano have already fallen short in their last two second-legs in this competition, losing to Samsunspor and AEK Athens. The visitors have also been poor on the road domestically, with 10 of their 12 defeats in La Liga coming away from home.

Vallecano have lost seven of their 10 visits to the top 10 in Spain, and it’s easy to see them coming to France and aiming to protect their lead.

Strasbourg have won three of their last four Conference League home games, including victories over Crystal Palace and Mainz. They overturned a two-goal deficit against Mainz in the last round, winning 4-0 at home to progress to the semis.

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