Sturm Graz vs Lazio Predictions

• Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Sturm Graz’s last five home games
• Fewer than three goals have been scored in two of Lazio’s last four away games.
• Lazio tend to field strong line-ups in this competition under Sarri.

Lazio look to make up for Herning humiliation

Lazio will be desperate to make amends for their unexpected 5-1 mauling at the hands of FC Midtjylland when they face Sturm Graz in Europa League Group F on Thursday.

Maurizio Sarri’s men were humbled in Herning just prior to the international break, leaving them with three points after two games in a tight-looking section. The Italian coach has a fondness for the Europa League given it was the first major trophy he won as a coach and he consistently put out strong sides in it during Lazio’s run to the play-off round last season.

Lazio started with Ciro Immobile, Pedro and Felipe Anderson in attack against Midtjylland and it could be the same case again in Austria. I Biancocelesti ran out comfortable 4-0 winners over Spezia last weekend and look in great shape to follow that up with another win against a steady but unspectacular Sturm side.

Goals in Graz can be few on the ground

Die Schwoazn are chasing Red Bull Salzburg at the top of the Bundesliga and, for the moment, are keeping it close. But they have a mixed record at home in this competition with many more defeats than wins over the last few years.

Sturm’s domestic away form has been marginally better than their home form this term and goals have been on the low side at, which has seen an average of exactly two per game. Despite almost 65% of matches in the Europa League this term seeing three goals or more, an Under 2.5 goals bet seems worth the risk for an odds-against price here.

Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Sturm Graz’s last five home games and also in two of Lazio’s last four away games. A 2-0 Lazio win is preferred in correct score markets as Sarri’s men have scored six goals in their last three away games combined and have kept two out of four clean sheets on the road this season.