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Udinese vs Fiorentina Predictions

  • 16:30
  • Expired
  • Dacia Arena
Udinese
Fiorentina

Under 2.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

13 of Fiorentina’s last 16 matches have contained under 2.5 goals, as have eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between the Viola and Fiorentina. Vincenzo Italiano’s men, meanwhile, have kept three consecutive clean sheets.

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Fiorentina 1-0

Reason for tip

Only four Serie A teams have recorded fewer shots on target than Udinese so far this season, while Fiorentina have gone unbeaten throughout their five competitive matches this season.

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Udinese vs Fiorentina Predictions

  • Fiorentina have posted three consecutive 0-0 draws in all competitions
  • 13 of the Viola’s last 19 matches have contained under 2.5 goals.
  • Eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Udinese and Fiorentina have contained a maximum of two goals, though the Zebrette did post a 4-0 win in April.

Viola unbeaten but struggling to create

Fiorentina are unbeaten in five matches in Serie A and the Europa Conference League this season, though a run of three consecutive 0-0 draws, two of them against teams Vincenzo Italiano’s men may expect to beat, has quelled their momentum. Udinese, meanwhile, have bounced back from a 4-2 loss at Milan by claiming four points from their last two games, and should be competitive on Wednesday.

Fiorentina earnt a reputation for playing high-octane attacking football last term, but their lack of chances in recent weeks may point to a more long-term trend – indeed, 13 of their last 19 matches have contained under 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, the Viola have amassed the third most shots in Serie A this season (57), but just the 13th highest expected goals (3 xG) tally. Therefore, only three of the league’s likely strugglers are creating worse chances adjudged by xG per shot – Lecce, Sampdoria and Salernitana.

Andrea Sottil’s arrival in the Udinese dugout has done little to ease their inconsistency; their season to date has taken in a brave defeat at Milan, a narrow win at Monza, and a frustrating draw against Salernitana. Sottil’s men have scored their four league goals from just 10 shots on target – only four teams, three of whom are yet to win, have recorded fewer.

Fiorentina to maintain newfound solidity?

With Fiorentina struggling for goals but improving on what had previously been a shaky defensive record, backing under 2.5 goals to be scored on Wednesday could be a good play – Fiorentina have five clean sheets in their last eight matches, while Udinese’s propensity for a shock rules out the result markets.

Meanwhile, Fiorentina may be worth backing for a hard-fought one-goal win, having gone unbeaten on their last six visits to the Dacia Arena.


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