Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Predictions

• Union Berlin have won three of their last five Bundesliga home games.
• RB Leipzig have been defeated in their last two Bundesliga away games.
• Both teams have scored in Union Berlin’s last six home games and RB Leipzig’s last three away contests.

Leipzig look vulnerable to fairtytale ending 

Union Berlin benefitted from Borussia Monchengladbach’s 2-1 home loss to Stuttgart to move to seventh, which would secure qualification for the Conference League, UEFA’s new third-tier continental competition.

The capital club had been targeting survival in only their second-ever Bundesliga season, but now a European campaign is within their grasp.

Urs Fischer’s men could have been luckier with their final weekend opponents, but Leipzig have shown themselves to be vulnerable on the road late in the campaign.

Whether distracted by Julian Nagelsmann’s impending departure to Munich or dismayed to lose contact with the champions, Leipzig have fallen well below their standards in successive away defeats to struggling Cologne and resurgent Dortmund.

Dortmund demolished them in the DFB Pokal Final too to add to the feeling that Leipzig have lost their touch outside Red Bull Arena.

Goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and midfielder Tyler Adams have been ruled out, but Alexander Sorloth is pushing for a full recall up front.

Fischer is expected to partner Joel Pohjanpalo with Max Kruse in attack after the Finn stepped off the bench to score the equaliser in last Saturday’s 1-1 draw with Leverkusen.

Leipzig ought to spoil a fairytale ending here if anything like their best, but the hosts offer better value on recent form.

And, given that all of Leipzig’s away losses have been by a solitary goal, we will take Union to win by the slimmest of margins on Saturday.

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