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Valencia vs Sporting Gijon Predictions

  • 20:30
  • Expired
  • Estadio de Mestalla
Sporting Gijon

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

Valencia’s poor run of form continued at the weekend, as they failed to overcome Valladolid in front of a home crowd. Marcelino’ men have gone three games without a win, while they’ve won just one of their last five. This home match against second division opposition presents the hosts with the perfect opportunity to bounce back, but they’ll have to do better than they did when losing in the reverse fixture just a week ago.

The Bats do come into this fixture having lost the first leg, but their defeat was a narrow one, so there’s no need to panic just yet. What’s more, although they did taste defeat at El Molinón, their performance was far from poor, especially from an offensive point of view. In fact, had Marcelino’s men had their shooting boots on, then they would be coming into this second leg with a lead, as they ended last week’s game with an expected goals supremacy of +1.48. They also accumulated both more shots and shots on target than Gijon in the first leg.

Considering that they created plenty last week, Valencia will be disappointed not be leading at the half-way stage, but they will also be uplifted by the fact that they were able to create so much on the road. Such creativity should fill the hosts with confidence ahead of this match in front of a home crowd, where they  have played well of late, especially from a forward point of view.

Valencia are now unbeaten in four at home, while their attacking efforts during that time have been eye-catching. Tuesday’s hosts have scored seven goals in their last four at Mestalla, while creating scoring opportunities has seemingly come easy to them during that time, as they’ve posted expected goals for figures of 1.94, 2.84, 1.91 and 2.28.

While Valencia have looked useful from an offensive point of view at home of late, Gijon have struggled to get going on their travels. Tuesday’s visitors have scored just a single goal in their last three away matches in the second division, while their last two efforts have been particularly disappointing, as is the fact that they’re currently averaging just 0.85 expected goals for away from home.

If Valencia see as much of the ball as they did in the first leg, which is highly likely, they’ll be on top from start to finish. Marcelino’s men proved that they can create plenty of chances against this Gijon back-line and if they can just steady themselves when it comes to getting the ball in the net, then they’ll score plenty of goals on Tuesday evening. Having clocked an impressive 2.89 expected goals for in the reverse fixture, Valencia are backed to do some real damage in this second leg, and punters can profit by getting on ‘Valencia to Score Over 2.5 Goals’.

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