Football Betting Tips

Liverpool look like the best value pick, with the Reds putting their struggles behind them with an eight-game unbeaten run. The Reds have the fourth-best Expected Goals record across the first six Champions League gameweeks, while they’ve recorded back-to-back 1-0 wins over Real Madrid and Inter Milan in Europe. Arne Slot’s side have a kind double-header in January, leaving them primed for a top-eight finish. With the Premier League coasting towards a fifth Champions League berth, the Reds should be in a good position to focus on European success in the spring.

Spain have some incredibly talented individuals, Lamine Yamal being the prime example, but are strong in all areas and don’t have any particular weaknesses. They won Euro 2024 with relative ease and they should be too good for their continental rivals at the World Cup. They also look a level above South American heavyweights Argentina and Brazil, suggesting they will be the team to beat at the World Cup this summer.

Despite a 2-1 victory in their last game, Ajax Reserves are now bottom of the Dutch second-tier. The hosts have managed to put up a fight in many of their clashes with the league’s top sides, including a 3-3 draw at fourth-placed Roda JC earlier this season. Over 3.5 has landed in all the hosts’ meetings with the top six, while 73% of Roda’s away trips have featured at least three goals. 

Lazio ended a four-game winless streak against bottom-placed Verona last time out, but they were far from convincing in that victory and have already lost against Como this season. They lost at home to Napoli recently, while I Lariani have won their last two away fixtures without conceding.

Guingamp have seen both teams score in six of their eight away trips, including four of their five visits to sides below them in the standings. They drew 2-2 at home to fifth-bottom Nancy in the reverse meeting, and they’ve also scored twice in all five of their clashes with the bottom four this term. The hosts returned to action with a 2-1 win at Amiens, so back goals in this clash.

Brighton are unbeaten in four games and have scored exactly twice in three of these. They face a Bournemouth side that have won just one of their last 13 games. However, the Cherries have failed to score in only one of their 10 league trips, and they’ve scored in five of their seven defeats so far.

There have been four or more goals scored in all but one of Estrela Amadora’s last six league games, while 75% of Estoril’s away trips have featured four or more goals. The visitors’ eight meetings with fellow bottom-half teams have seen over 3.5 goals land on five occasions. 

Despite a 2-1 victory in their last game, Ajax Reserves are now bottom of the Dutch second-tier. The hosts have managed to put up a fight in many of their clashes with the league’s top sides, including a 3-3 draw at fourth-placed Roda JC earlier this season. Over 3.5 has landed in all the hosts’ meetings with the top six, and in over half of the visitors’ away trips. 

PSV Reserves are flying high in fifth-place in the Dutch second tier, and they’ve been thrilling across their away trips so far. Their matches on the road have seen 4.18 goals per game on average. Utrecht Reserves drew 3-3 with Monday’s opponents in the reverse fixture, while there have been 24 goals scored across their five home meetings with the top seven so far.

33 goals have been scored across Bournemouth’s last seven matches, with six of these going over 2.5 goals. Three or more goals have been scored in ten of their 11 away games this season and in each of their last five meetings with Brighton.

There have been four or more goals scored in all but one of Estrela Amadora’s last six league games, while 75% of Estoril’s away trips have featured four or more goals. The visitors’ eight meetings with fellow bottom-half teams have seen over 3.5 goals land on five occasions.

PSV Reserves have kept only one away clean sheet this season, and they’ve conceded in seven of their 10 league victories. They head to an Utrecht Reserves side who have lost three of their first four clashes with the top five, so back the high-flying visitors to follow up a 2-1 win at ADO Den Haag.

Outside of goalless draws with two of the top three, BTTS has been a common occurrence for Granada at home this season. Their two home victories each saw them concede, while they host an Eibar side who have lost seven of their first 10 away trips.

Brighton are unbeaten in four games and have scored exactly twice in three of these. They face a Bournemouth side that have won just one of their last 13 games. However, the Cherries have failed to score in only one of their 10 league trips, and they’ve scored in five of their seven defeats so far. 

Lazio ended a four-game winless streak against bottom-placed Verona last time out, but they were far from convincing in that victory and have already lost against Como this season. They lost at home to Napoli recently, while I Lariani have won their last two away fixtures without conceding.

Guingamp have seen both teams score in six of their eight away trips, including four of their five visits to sides below them in the standings. They drew 2-2 at home to fifth-bottom Nancy in the reverse meeting, and they’ve also scored twice in all five of their clashes with the bottom four this term. The hosts returned to action with a 2-1 win at Amiens, so back goals in this clash.

Estoril have conceded in seven of their eight away trips this season, while they’ve scored eight goals in three visits to sides below them. Estrela have failed to score only three times at home this term, and they’ve scored three goals in back-to-back league outings, a 3-3 draw and a 3-2 victory.

Lazio ended a four-game winless streak against bottom-placed Verona last time out, but they were far from convincing in that victory and have already lost against Como this season. They lost at home to Napoli recently, while I Lariani have won their last two away fixtures without conceding.

33 goals have been scored across Bournemouth’s last seven matches, with six of these going over 2.5 goals. Three or more goals have been scored in ten of their 11 away games this season and in each of their last five meetings with Brighton.

Elche have been rock solid at home this season, losing just one of their ten games in their own back yard in the league, and they are fancied to get the better of a Sevilla team who have lost 11 of their 19 top-flight matches this term.

Estoril have conceded in seven of their eight away trips this season, while they’ve scored eight goals in three visits to sides below them. Estrela have failed to score only three times at home this term, while they’ve scored three goals in back-to-back league outings, a 3-3 draw and a 3-2 victory.

Brighton are unbeaten in four games and have scored exactly twice in three of these. They face a Bournemouth side that have won just one of their last 13 games. 2-1 has been the final scoreline in each of the last three meetings between these sides, with Brighton winning two of those.

Sevilla have lost three league games in a row without scoring and failed to net in four on the spin in all competitions. Elche have kept five clean sheets in ten home matches and could edge this one 2-0.

Derby have won five of their six visits to the bottom eight, while Charlton have only claimed one home win against sides placed 16th or above.

A place in the FA Cup fourth round is up for grabs when Salford and Swindon clash for the second time in three days. The Ammies won 3-2 at Swindon on Saturday and tired legs from that end-to-end clash may lead to another thriller with over 3.5 goals landing for a fourth straight head-to-head.

A bright start to the season has quickly fizzled out for Stevenage, who are without a win in six games after Saturday’s 3-0 thrashing at Exeter. Bolton were dominant in their 1-0 Wigan on Saturday, winning the xG battle 1.4-0.3, and can land another three points on the road.

Inter have won four of their six Champions League games but all of those victories came against sides currently in the bottom nine of the league phase. They have lost to Atletico Madrid and Liverpool, suggesting they are not at the level of Arsenal, who are top of both the Premier League and Champions League standings.

Tottenham have lost three of their last four home games, while Dortmund have won three of their last five Champions League games. The visitors are well placed to trouble Spurs, but both teams have scored in eight of Dortmund’s last nine away games.

Bodo/Glimt are winless in the Champions League, but they have scored in three of their last four matches in the competition and may find the net against Manchester City, who have conceded in four of their last five games. However, Pep Guardiola’s side should prove too strong for the struggling Norwegians.

PSG have won four of their six Champions League games so far, and they’ve won eight of their last 12 matches across all competitions. The French champions are backed to stop a Sporting side who have been beaten by Napoli and Bayern Munich in Europe this term, but BTTS has landed in five of the hosts’ six Champions League games.

Tottenham have lost three of their last four home games, while Dortmund have won three of their last five Champions League games. The visitors are well placed to trouble Spurs, but both teams have scored in eight of Dortmund’s last nine away games.

Championship leaders Coventry battled back from a goal down to beat rivals Leicester 2-1 on Saturday but it is now five games without a clean sheet for Frank Lampard’s side and they may struggle to keep high-flying Millwall, fresh off a stunning 2-0 win at Watford, at bay.

Bottom side Livingston are without a clean sheet in 16 league games, while nine of their 10 home matches have finished with both teams scoring. St Mirren have conceded in all 10 of their away trips this season, so back both defences to struggle.

Alvaro Arbeloa lost 3-2 to second-tier opposition in his opening game as Real Madrid boss, while the Spanish giants shipped six goals across their last three European games. Monaco have scored in five of six Champions League matches, recording at least 1.3 xG in each, and they can contribute to a high-scoring game despite their domestic struggles.

Wrexham and Leicester will be hoping to make the playoffs and, having both lost at the weekend, each should go on the front foot as they look to get back on track at the Racecourse. Both teams to score has been a winning bet in Leicester’s last ten games, as well as in seven of Wrexham’s last eight, so an end-to-end affair is expected.

A place in the FA Cup fourth round is up for grabs when Salford and Swindon clash for the second time in three days. The Ammies won 3-2 at Swindon on Saturday and tired legs from that end-to-end clash may lead to another thriller with over 3.5 goals landing for a fourth straight head-to-head.

There have been 26 goals in Copenhagen’s six Champions League games, and the hosts head into this contest having only played friendlies in the past month, warming up for this game with a 4-4 draw against Sturm Graz. Napoli have shared two 2-2 draws in their last four games, so goals appeal here.

PSG won 3-0 at home to Lille on Friday night and this is set to be another routine victory for the European champions, who have scored 19 times across their six League Phase matches.

Tottenham’s last four home defeats have finished 2-1, but there should be more goals with Dortmund in high-scoring form. The visitors have netted 19 times in six Champions League games this season, while they’ve scored exactly three times in their first three games in 2026.

Bottom side Livingston are without a clean sheet in 16 league games, while nine of their 10 home matches have finished with both teams scoring. St Mirren have conceded in all 10 of their away trips this season, so back both defences to struggle.

PSG won 3-0 at home to Lille on Friday night and this is set to be another routine victory for the European champions, who have scored 19 times across their six League Phase matches.

Dortmund have won three of their last five games in the Champions League, and they can prey on a Spurs side who are at a new low following Saturday’s defeat to West Ham. The hosts have been beaten in three of their last four home matches, and they’ve been terrible at their own ground all season.

Wrexham and Leicester will be hoping to make the playoffs and, having both lost at the weekend, each should go on the front foot as they look to get back on track at the Racecourse. Both teams to score has been a winning bet in Leicester’s last ten games, as well as in seven of Wrexham’s last eight, so an end-to-end affair is expected.

Dortmund have won three of their last five games in the Champions League, and they can prey on a Spurs side who are at a new low following Saturday’s defeat to West Ham. The hosts have been beaten in three of their last four home matches, and they’ve been terrible at their own ground all season.

Goal difference alone separates these two sides heading into the final two weeks of League Phase action, and there could be little to separate Copenhagen and Napoli at the Parken Stadium on Tuesday.I Partenopei are yet to claim a point on their travels in the Champions League and have won just one of their last four ties, while the Danes have only lost one of their three home games in this competition, including a high-scoring draw with Bayer Leverkusen in September.

Bayern Munich put yet another defence to the sword when they demolished RB Leipzig 5-1 on Saturday, and they will have Union Saint-Gilloise quaking in their boots as they visit the Allianz Arena.Die Bayern have scored four or more goals in four of their last five games and have scored 22 goals across their last five at home. Union Saint-Gilloise have lost four of their six Champions League ties, including 4-0 thrashings at the hands of Newcastle and Inter Milan.

Lyon are top of the standings in the Europa League league phase, and they can consolidate top spot when they visit Switzerland on Thursday.Les Gones have won five of their six Europa League fixtures, and they head into matchday seven of the competition off the back of a fantastic run of form over the winter period. They have wonseven of their last eight, and hosts Young Boys have lost their last three assignments, conceding 12 goals in the process.

After a round of midweek fixtures, Derby and West Brom will lock horns at Pride Park on Friday evening, and it is the Rams backed to take all three points to close the gap on the Championship play-off positions.John Eustace’s side have taken five points from their last five home games and, while they are far from the best home side in the second tier, their visitors have lost their last ten league away games and four of their last five trips to this ground.

Despite a dreadful run of form which has seen them win just one of their last eight games, Tottenham are odds-on favourites for their trip to Turf Moor, and they look worth opposing after last weekend’s shambles.Thomas Frank’s side were beaten on their own patch by the dire West Ham and, despite their lowly position in the table, Burnley have taken points from Liverpool and Manchester City in their last two games. It remains to be seen whether Thomas Frank will still be in charge on Saturday but, if he is, the Clarets could put the final nail in his coffin.

AZ Alkmaar’s 18 Eredivisie games have produced a massive 64 goals, and there could be a fair few added to that tally when they visit the BUKO Stadion on Sunday.Telstar have scored 17 and conceded 20 in their last nine home games, with seven of those going over 3.5 goals, while four or more goals have been scored in five of AZ’s last six domestic fixtures.

Arsenal are yet to concede an away goal in this season’s Champions League and have shipped just one in total. The Gunners’ excellent defence should stand firm against an Inter side which failed to score against a shaky Liverpool backline in their last Champions League home game.

PSG won 3-0 at home to Lille on Friday night and this is set to be another routine victory for the European champions, who have scored 19 times across their six League Phase matches.

Napoli are yet to pick up a point on their travels in the Champions League and they have drawn three of their last four outings in all competitions. Copenhagen have taken four points from their three home matches, including a draw with Bayer Leverkusen.

Inter have won four of their six Champions League games but all of those victories came against sides currently in the bottom nine of the league phase. They have lost to Atletico Madrid and Liverpool, suggesting they are not at the level of Arsenal, who are top of both the Premier League and Champions League standings.

Olympiakos have been encouraging across their home games in Europe this term, winning the xG battle against PSV and Pafos, while they matched Real Madrid with 1.7 xG apiece. Leverkusen have lost their opening two games of the year thanks to some defensive vulnerabilities and issues in creating chances.

Alvaro Arbeloa lost 3-2 to second-tier opposition in his opening game as Real Madrid boss, while the Spanish giants shipped six goals across their last three European games. Monaco have scored in five of six Champions League matches, recording at least 1.3 xG in each, and they can contribute to a high-scoring game despite their domestic struggles.

Having netted five times already, Gabriel Martinelli is Arsenal’s top scorer in the Champions League this term and the Brazilian, who bagged a hat-trick in the FA Cup recently, looks a big price to find the net at the San Siro.

Brandt has five goals in his last five games for Dortmund, including a brace in their last Champions League match. The midfielder netted in their 3-2 win over St Pauli at the weekend to take him to nine goals for the campaign.

Arsenal are already virtually assured of their place in the last 16 after triumphing in all six games so far and Inter, who are sixth, still have a bit of work to do. Mikel Arteta knows a winning habit is key for his side and I cannot see the Gunners easing off in Milan.

Spurs have just one win in their last seven games and they’ve lost four of those. Ahead of Saturday’s game with St Pauli, BVB are on a six-game unbeaten run and have been in excellent scoring form recently having hit eight goals across their last three games. The in-form Bundesliga side can boost their chances of avoiding a play-off with a win at Tottenham.

The home side go into this clash in good form in Serie A, with three straight wins since the turn of the year and without conceding a goal. Atalanta can claim a win that could seal their path into the last 16.