Premier League Opening Day Betting Trends

Our analysts look over previous results from the opening weekend of the Premier League to see if they can spot any betting trends.

Let’s take a look at the last 3 years worth of results on Soccerway and our main betting markets. An upset we’ve classed as an underdog winning or drawing, purely odds based.

2012-2013

Both Teams To Score – 30%

Over 2.5 Match Goals – 50%

Upsets – 4 (Arsenal drawing, Everton, Stoke drawing, West Brom)

2013-2014

Both Teams To Score – 30%

Over 2.5 Match Goals – 40%

Upsets – 3 (Aston Villa, Everton drawing, Fulham)

2014-2015

Both Teams To Score – 60%

Over 2.5 Match Goals – 60%

Upsets – 3 (Swansea, Aston Villa, Everton drawing)

So now we’ve analysed the data we can see there isn’t many goals during the opening weekend of fixtures. Teams tend to come out slow and get a feel for the game rather than attacking from the off. This will also be to lack of team chemistry, match sharpness and fitness. Teams will have had preseason but won’t be 100% up to full fitness so they can’t play at a high pace throughout the whole game like normal which might result in less goals.

Aston Villa have upset the odds twice on the opening day in the last three years and are a 3/1 underdog against newly promoted Bournemouth. People will write them off after losing Benteke and Delph but that won’t phase the Villians as they’ll be looking to get off to a flyer.

Everton have started slowly the last two seasons and some might fancy Watford to get a result. The draw is 11/4 and Watford are 9/2 to go away with all three points on the road, a safer option would be Watford double chance (win or draw) at 23/20.