Almeria vs Real Zaragoza Predictions

• Almeria have faced the second-most shots on target
• Zaragoza are underperforming their xG tally by the largest distance in the league
• The visitors did win their last game on the road
• There have been 16 goals across Almeria’s three home matches so far

Golden chance for visitors to take their chances

Saturday evening’s clash in the Spanish second tier is an encounter between a stoppable force and a movable object, as Zaragoza’s underwhelming forward line meets a leaky Almeria side.

The visitors have underperformed their Expected Goals tally by the highest margin in the division. That’s rooted in their shooting woes, as just 27% of their efforts at goal have been on target – the second-lowest number in the division. Based on the chances they’ve created, they should have twice as many points and sit 12 places higher in the table.

Fortune could turn this weekend, as Almeria have conceded the second-highest number of shots on target. They’re also in the bottom half in terms of save percentage, stopping less than 70% of the shots on target they’ve faced.

Almeria have conceded in all but two of their eight games this season, while they’ve shipped eight goals in three home games. Zaragoza picked up their first win of the campaign in their last trip, but they’ll struggle to hold off an Almeria side who have netted 14 times – the third-highest total in the league.