- Emirates Stadium
- Arsenal have to win to stand any chance of a top four finish.
- Everton played on Thursday night and secured survival, so they have nothing left to play for.
- The Merseyside outfit have eight defeats in their last 10 away, with five of those losses coming by two or more goals.
- Eddie Nketiah has four goals in his last six games.
Win unlikely to be enough for Arsenal
Everton secured their place in the Premier League for next season with a comeback victory over Crystal Palace on Thursday and now head to Arsenal in the final round of fixtures on Sunday.
The Gunners have to win and hope Spurs lose at Norwich if they are to sneak into the top four and qualify for the Champions League. A defeat for Tottenham at Carrow Road looks unlikely, but a win for Arsenal does look the most likely outcome in this clash.
Everton could be in party mode
After a difficult campaign, the relief at Goodison Park was clear to see on Thursday as Everton rallied from a 2-0 deficit to record a 3-2 win over Palace as they avoided the prospect of final day drama.
Boss Frank Lampard will clearly make changes to his side for this final fixture of the season and although the Everton players will be on a high, it is hard to see them putting maximum effort in at the Emirates Stadium as they will have viewed that game against Palace as their season finale.
Arsenal have lost their last two games and have failed to score in both of those. However, those two fixtures were away games and at the Emirates their results have remained fairly impressive.
Mikel Arteta’s men have won five of their last seven home games, with two defeats. One of those losses came against Liverpool and the only really disappointing result during that run was a 2-1 reverse to Brighton, and they were arguably unlucky not to get a result.
The North London outfit have scored at least twice in all five of those victories and they beat a -1 handicap in two of those wins. It is hard to gauge just how Everton will perform after that win over Palace but it would be no surprise if they eased off and I’m backing Arsenal to win with a -1 handicap as my main bet.
Toffees struggling for goals away
Everton have managed four points from their last two away games as desperation set in but their goalless draw at relegated Watford in their last trip doesn’t offer any encouragement that they can score at Arsenal.
Lampard’s men have lost eight of their last 10 away from home, five of those losses came by more than one goal and they also failed to score in five of those 10 games. Taking all that into account a 3-0 win for the hosts looks a reasonable option for the correct score prediction and an anytime goal for Eddie Nketiah also stands out, as he scored twice in the win over Leeds in Arsenal’s last home fixture.
Arsenal predicted lineup: Ramsdale, Cedric, White, Holding, Tavares, Xhaka, Elneny, Odegaard, Martinelli, Saka, Nketiah
Everton predicted lineup: Pickford, Branthwaite, Godfrey, Keane, Iwobi, Alli, Doucoure, Mykolenko, Gray, Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison
- Arsenal have enjoyed success in five of their last seven home games in the Premier League
- Arsenal’s last three home games in the Premier League have produced over 2.5 goals
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- 5 Aug