Arsenal vs Everton Predictions

• Arsenal have conceded in nine of 11 home league games this term
• The Gunners have kept one clean sheet across their last seven matches
• Everton have conceded in 91% of their away games this season
• Eddie Nketiah has three goals in his five home league starts this season

Can Dyche spring another surprise?

Everton derailed Arsenal’s title bid a month ago with a 1-0 victory at Goodison Park. That was Sean Dyche’s first outing as Toffees’ boss and he takes his charges to the capital on Wednesday night for another meeting with the Gunners. After two defeats in their last three, Everton are back in the bottom three and they’re in need more another victory.

However, Arsenal can restore the five-point lead they surrendered against Everton by claiming a midweek win. This is Arsenal’s game in hand over Man City, so even though it’s first against 18th this is a pivotal night in the title race. After claiming consecutive league wins, can the Gunners string a good run together as we approach the run-in?

Arsenal’s Emirates issues

The league leaders are unsurprisingly favourites for a home win, but their matches at the Emirates haven’t been entirely straightforward this term. Arsenal have conceded in all but two of their home league matches so far this season, shipping 14 goals across 11 outings at their own ground.

The Gunners approach this one having conceded in six of their last seven games and they’ve gone three games without a clean sheet at home. While they meet an Everton side who aren’t all that threatening going forward, the visitors have claimed a 1-1 draw at Man City already this term and they hurt the Gunners from set-pieces in the reverse fixture last month.

On the bright side, Arsenal have been fantastic going forward so far. They’ve scored in all but one of their home league games and that was against the Premier League’s outstanding defence in Newcastle. Everton are far from that level, having conceded in 91% of their away trips this term. They look like great opposition for Eddie Nketiah, who has scored three goals across five starts at the Emirates in the league. Back him to add to that against the Toffees.

Gunners’ to boost title hopes

Everton have won just one of their last 26 away games against Arsenal in the league (D4 L21), while they’ve never won an away game against the Premier League leaders, losing 19 times. It’s hard to see them boosting their survival hopes in this trip, especially having lost five of their last seven.

The Gunners have won eight of 11 home league games this season and the Gunners have a 100% record against teams in the bottom-half at the Emirates. Meanwhile, the Toffees have one of the worst away records in the league, having lost six times on their travels heading into this one.

Given the Gunners’ habit of conceding at home, their Emirates matches haven’t brought many emphatic wins. Given that Sean Dyche is slowly improving the visitors, I expect this to be a close game, but the hosts should prove too strong. Back Arsenal to come away with their third 2-1 home win of the campaign.

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