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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Predictions

Published on 7:00pm GMT 13 May 2024

  • 19:00
  • Expired
  • Villa Park
Aston Villa
  • Sky Sports Main Event

Over 3.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Liverpool have conceded twice in each of their last three games and there have been 16 goals scored across their last four matches. Villa have seen 23 goals scored in their last five at home, while 72% of their league games at Villa Park this term have featured four or more goals.

4/5odds when tipped
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Draw 2-2

Reason for tip

Liverpool have drawn five of their nine visits to sides placed 11th or higher in the league this term, while Villa are flagging as a long season catches up with them. The hosts should be able to push with a top-four finish incredibly close, but the pair look set to share the spoils in an open game.

11/1odds when tipped
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Predictions

  • Over 3.5 goals has landed in 72% of Villa’s home games this term
  • There have been 16 goals scored across Liverpool’s last four matches
  • The Reds looked back to their best going forward in last weekend’s 4-2 win over Spurs
  • 23 goals have been scored across the last five games at Villa Park

Villa look to bounce back from European exit

Aston Villa fell short in Europe in midweek, losing 2-0 at Olympiakos to exit the Europa Conference League with a 6-2 aggregate defeat. The Villains tried to balance their chase for a trophy alongside their top four push in the Premier League, but they look to have burned out with just a couple of weeks left in the campaign.

Villa have lost each of their last three games, but with a seven-point lead over fifth-placed Tottenham, they need just one more victory from their final two games to secure a Champions League finish. Can they claim that on Monday night against a Liverpool side who have little to play for?

Low-key finish for Reds

Jurgen Klopp’s penultimate game as Liverpool boss won’t be a high-profile one, with the Reds likely to be out of the running for the Premier League title mathematically by the time they kick-off at Villa Park. That means the German will depart after the Wolves game just six days later, having taken the Reds back into the Champions League spots.

This isn’t the big finale that Liverpool fans expected when he announced his plans to leave, but at least they’re set for an entertaining finish to the campaign. The Reds have seen 16 goals scored across their last four matches after a 4-2 win over Tottenham last weekend pushed Spurs’ top four hopes to the brink.

Klopp’s side are conceding too many – having let in two goals in each of their last three games – but their early rush against Spurs suggested they’re back to their best going forward. The fact that one of their full-backs have scored in three of their last four games shows just how attack-minded the Reds have been in their final stretch under Klopp.

Villa faltering at the finish

Villa’s home meetings with the league’s top teams have seen them produce two 1-0 victories over the top two. However, they’ve also suffered three defeats against the rest of the top eight at home, while they were fortunate to escape with a draw at home to Chelsea last month.

Villa aren’t looking much like the side which kept clean sheets against the top two of late, having conceded in nine of their last 10 across all competitions. Their previous five home games have seen 23 goals scored, with over 3.5 goals landing in seven of their last nine at Villa Park.

The hosts have had a huge 72% of their home games finish with at least four goals and with a well-rested Liverpool side facing their final week under Klopp, expect them to get forward in this trip. Over 3.5 goals is the best bet, while a 2-2 draw appeals as the Reds have drawn five of their nine visits to teams 11th or higher.

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