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Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Predictions

Published on 4:38pm GMT 16 January 2026

  • 15:15
  • Expired
  • Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
  • La Liga TV
  • Premier Player

Over 3.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Atletico Madrid should be in control against Alaves in this La Liga clash, and that dominance could translate into goals. Diego Simeone’s side sit comfortably in the top four and have the firepower to punish an Alaves team that is badly out of form on the road. The visitors are winless in seven away league games and continue to concede regularly, while Atletico have already been involved in several high scoring home matches this season.

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Atletico Madrid 3-1

Reason for tip

A 3-1 home win makes plenty of sense. Atletico have won four league games this season by a two goal margin and generally do enough rather than going overboard. Alaves’ away record is grim, with six straight defeats, but they are capable of nicking a goal, especially if Atletico ease off late on. With Alaves beaten by at least two goals in two of their last three matches and Atletico regularly scoring multiple times at home, this scoreline looks a strong fit.

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Atletico Madrid vs Alaves Predictions

Goals Expected at the Metropolitano

Goals are on the cards when Atletico Madrid host Alaves at the Metropolitano on Sunday. Back over 3.5 goals.

Atletico Madrid are fourth in the league, 12 places and 19 points above Alaves. The hosts have won 11, drawn five and lost three of their 19 games this season, while Alaves have five wins, four draws and ten losses.

Atletico Madrid were 2-1 winners over Valencia in their last home game and are unbeaten in five of the last six meetings with Alaves. The visitors have failed to win any of their last seven away games.

Three of Atletico Madrid’s nine home league games this season have finished with over 3.5 goals.

A 3-1 win for Atletico Madrid is an appealing correct-score bet. Alaves are on a six-game losing streak away from home in the league, and have been beaten by at least two goals in two of their last three games. Four of Atletico’s 11 wins this season have come by a two-goal margin.


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Edited by Mark Langdon

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