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Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach Predictions

  • 16:30
  • Expired
  • Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach
  • Sky Sports Mix

Borussia Dortmund -2

Reason for tip

The top scorers in 2023 across Europe’s top five leagues meet the Bundesliga’s lowest scorers in the calendar year. On top of that, Gladbach – with just nine away points all season – visit a Dortmund side who have the league’s best home record, winning their last 10 and hitting 41 goals along the way. Seven of Dortmund’s 13 home wins have come by three or more, so back a drubbing for Gladbach.

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Borussia Dortmund 4-0

Reason for tip

Dortmund have scored at least four goals in three of their last four at home, winning to nil in each of their last two matches at their own ground. The hosts have won by at least four goals on five occasions this season, each of those coming at home.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Monchengladbach Predictions

  • Dortmund have won their last 10 home league games, scoring 41 times
  • The hosts have scored more goals in 2023 than any side in Europe’s top five leagues
  • Half of Gladbach’s away defeats have come by three goals or more

Home comforts for Dortmund

Incredibly, it was a six-game winelss run on the road which dented Dortmund hopes across three competitions this season. They exited the Champions League and DFB Pokal with 2-0 defeats at Chelsea and Leipzig, while four-straight away draws cost them top spot in the Bundesliga, where they trail Bayern Munich by a point.

However, Dortmund have kept in touch with the champions through some blistering form. While a treble may seem like dizzy heights for this Dortmund side, they have already scored 48 league goals in 2023 – the best record in Europe’s top five leagues ahead of Manchester City (45).

Many of those have come at home, with the club winning their last 10 home league games. They’ve racked up 41 goals in that time and judging by their record in this fixture, there are more to come.

Troubling trip for Gladbach

Borussia Dortmund have won 16 of their last 17 competitive home games against Borussia Monchengladbach, including each of the last nine. Their aggregate score in that time is 49-9, which lines up with the gulf between these two sides heading into Saturday evening’s clash.

While Dortmund have the best home record in the Bundesliga, Gladbach have one of the worst. Only Hertha Berlin have picked up a smaller share of their points on the road, with the visitors winning only nine across their last 15 trips. Gladbach have scored the joint-fewest goals in the Bundesliga in the calendar year, so they should struggle to match the hosts.

Dortmund have hit six goals twice across their last four home league games, while seven of their 13 home wins this season have come by at least three goals. By comparison, Gladbach have lost by three or more in half their away defeats. Back a clear winner from Saturday’s clash.


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