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18th Jan 2020
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Brighton vs Aston Villa Predictions

England Premier League | The Amex Stadium | 18th January
Brighton badge
Brighton
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
KO 15:00
Aston Villa badge
Aston Villa
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Brighton vs Aston Villa predictions for Saturday’s Premier League contest at the Amex Stadium. Both clubs are in need of a win in this relegation tussle. Read on for all our free Premier League predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Aston Villa Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 5/4

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Draw 1-1 @ 15/2

Reason For Brighton vs Aston Villa Predictions

  • Brighton won only one of their last six league matches at home.
  • Villa drew 1-1 at Leicester and beat Burnley 2-1 in their last two away matches in league and cup.
  • Aston Villa already beat Brighton twice this season – 2-1 in the league and 3-1 in the Carabao Cup.
  • Both clubs scored an average of 0.8 goals per 90 minutes in their last six matches respectively.

Brighton need points to match their performances

Despite the overall improvement in their style of play this season under Graham Potter, there is still a sizeable chance that Brighton could be sucked into a relegation dogfight this season.

The Seagulls have been playing some lovely football on their way to springing a surprise or two this term, though their return of just two wins from 11 Premier League matches since November means that they are just three points clear of the relegation zone as we enter the second half of the campaign.

When Albion do lose, it tends to be by the slimmest of margins as evidenced in their narrow reverses against Liverpool (1-2), Sheffield United (0-1), Tottenham (1-2) and Everton (0-1), though their competitive performances in those games won’t count for much if Brighton don’t beat the drop this year.

On Saturday, Brighton host third from bottom Aston Villa on the south coast in a game that feels incredibly significant in the race for Premier League survival.

Villa’s away form improving?

The Villains were dismantled 6-1 at home by Manchester City in their last outing, in a display that had all the hallmarks of a team in trouble.

The loss pushed Villa’s dismal run to six defeats in eight Premier League games, though Dean Smith would have been keen to impress on his players that a defeat against the free-scoring Citizens shouldn’t be seen as a season defining setback.

Instead, Smith will point to Villa’s last two away assignments at Burnley in the league and Leicester in the Carabao Cup as reasons for some positivity.

Villa won 2-1 at Turf Moor to end a run of six league away games without a victory, and the Villains impressed in their semi final first leg at the King Power shortly after.

Dean Smith’s charges would have taken plenty of confidence from those positive away day run outs, and Villa’s self-belief will be further buoyed by their excellent record against Brighton this term.

Villa seem to have Brighton’s number

Villa came out on top against the Seagulls on two separate occasions already this term, beating them 2-1 at Villa Park in the Premier League and 3-1 in the Carabao Cup at the Amex Stadium, albeit against a weakened Albion outfit, and the midlanders will feel that they have Brighton’s number.

Brighton’s only win in their last six attempts at home came against a Bournemouth side in free-fall, and the Villains will believe that they are catching the Seagulls at a hugely opportune time in the clubs’ third meeting.

With Albion struggling to turn performances into points, and Villa spurred on by their excellent record against the Seagulls this term, we think the Aston Villa double chance market is priced generously for Saturday’s contest, while our correct score prediction settles on a 1-1 draw.

Albion and Villa have looked less than prolific up front of late, averaging just 0.8 goals per 90 minutes over their last six games respectively, and even with clean sheets out of the question for both porous defences, a goal a piece seems about the limit of their current attacking capabilities.

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Submitted Successfully
Article by: Simon W
Contact: simon.winter@freesupertips.co.uk
Twitter: @simonjwinter
Published: January 15, 2020

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