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Brighton vs Aston Villa Predictions

  • 15:00
  • Expired
  • The Amex Stadium
Brighton
Aston Villa

Draw

23/10odds when tipped
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Draw 0-0

9/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • 12 of Brighton’s 25 Premier League games have finished level.
  • Aston Villa are averaging one point-per-game away from home.
  • Five of Brighton’s last eight home games have been draws.
  • Both sides have failed to score in each of their last two games.

Entertainment could be at a premium in Brighton

Brighton and Aston Villa are both out-of-sorts ahead of their clash on the south coast and Saturday’s game may well turn out to be one for the purists.

Albion slumped to a 3-0 defeat at home to struggling Burnley last time out and Villa go into the game after back-to-back defeats to relegation threatened Newcastle and Watford.

The Seagulls appear to be heading for mid-table obscurity and Villa also seem set to finish in the middle of the pack, although they could still be pulled into danger if results don’t improve.

Neither side has any fresh injury or suspension concerns, and I’m expecting a tight game between two sides who will be keen to stop the rot on Saturday.

Spoils to be shared at the Amex Stadium

Too many draws have been Brighton’s problem this season with 12 of their 25 games ending all square. They may take a point in this game, however, having lost their last two games without scoring.

Villa have only had three stalemates in their 24 games but two of those have been in their last five fixtures. Steven Gerrard’s men have also lost their last two games without scoring and they managed just one attempt on target despite creating 20 chances against a poor Watford team at Villa Park last time out.

Defences could come out on top

I’m backing a draw as the main bet here as five of Brighton’s last eight at home have been stalemates. Villa are yet to draw away from home but interestingly they are averaging exactly one point-per-game on their travels and they have been involved in some close games away from home, as seven of their last eight trips have been decided by one-goal (W3, L4).

Given the fact both sides have struggled for goals of late this could well be a game where the defences come out on top, while both teams are boosted by the returns of some key defenders as Lewis Dunk is back from a one-game ban for the hosts and Ezri Konsa is available for Villa following his own suspension.  If you’re adding this game to an accumulator under 2.5 goals could be the way to go and a small stake on a 0-0 result has some appeal in the correct score market, from a betting perspective if nothing else.

Brighton predicted lineup: Sanchez, Lamptey, Dunk, Webster, Cucurella, Lallana, Bissouma, Moder, Gross, Trossard, Maupay

Aston Villa predicted lineup: Martinez, Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne, McGinn, Luiz, Ramsey, Bailey, Watkins, Coutinho


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  • Brighton have won only three of their 12 home games this season
  • 13 of Brighton’s last 15 Premier League games have had under 2.5 goals

Spotlight Insights combine the best data and editorial expertise to give you an extra angle.

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