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Cardiff vs Luton Predictions

Published on 3:11pm GMT 12 February 2026

  • 15:00
  • 14
  • Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff
    Luton

      Cardiff to Win

      Reason for tip

      Cardiff City are ruthless at home, winning nine of their last ten league games at the Cardiff City Stadium and leading League One with 19 victories from 30 matches. They’ve scored 55 goals — more than anyone in the division — and have hit at least twice in four of their last five. Luton Town arrive in poor away form, losing five of their last six on the road and failing to score in their last three trips.

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      Cardiff 1-0

      Reason for tip

      Luton’s last three defeats have all been 1-0 and they’re struggling badly in front of goal away from home. With Cardiff defensively solid and dominant on their own patch, a narrow 1-0 home win fits the recent trend.

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      Cardiff vs Luton Predictions

      Bluebirds to extend home dominance

      Cardiff are worth backing to beat Luton at home in League One on Saturday. Brian Barry-Murphy’s side have won nine of their last ten league games at the Cardiff City Stadium, while Luton have lost five of their last six away, including their last four.

      League One leaders Cardiff have 19 wins from their 30 games this season, while Luton are seventh in the table having won 13. This season, 41 (48%) of the 86 games between teams in the top half of the table have been home wins, and backing them to a one-point level stake would have shown a profit of 7.96 points.

      Goals have proven easy to come by for the hosts this season, with no team scoring more in League One than Cardiff’s 55 in 30 games. They have scored at least twice in four of their last five matches, including a 4-0 win over Barnsley two weeks ago.

      Cardiff are in excellent form at home, having won nine of their last ten League One games. They have not tasted defeat on their own patch since December, when they lost to Lincoln.

      Luton are enduring a rough spell on their travels, having failed to win any of their last six League One away games, a run which has yielded five defeats.

      The visitors are struggling to find the back of the net, with Luton on a run of three League One away games without scoring. They have lost four of their last six on the road without being able to find the net.

      Luton have failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven League One games and are on a run of six away days without recording a shutout.

      A 1-0 win for Cardiff looks a decent correct-score bet. Three of Luton’s last four League One matches have produced under 2.5 goals and they have sustained three 1-0 defeats in a row.


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      Edited by Mark Langdon

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