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Colchester vs Mansfield Town Predictions

  • 15:00
  • Expired
  • JobServe Community Stadium

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    Tip Reasoning

    Things had begun to go awry for Colchester, who’re chasing a return to League One, but they bounced back in timely fashion last weekend, winning by three goals to nil away against Port Vale. With that result under their belts, John McGreal’s men will be confident of moving forward.

    Colchester had been struggling to pick up wins prior to their return to form last weekend, but their performances have been pleasing for some time. When they drew 3-3 with Notts County, McGreal’s mem could count themselves unlucky, as they created considerably more than their opponents, as the fact that they ended the game with an expected goal difference of +2.08, while they’ve now bettered their opponents in terms of expected goals in four of their last five.

    When playing at home this season Colchester have been a tough team to get at; they’ve lost just one of their last nine on home soil, while they’ve tasted defeat just three times in 14 games in front of a home crowd. During that time, they’ve kept seven clean sheets and have shipped an average of just 0.86 goals per game. In addition, the U’s are surrendering an average of just 0.87 expected goal, which tells us that they’re good at preventing their opponents from creating scoring opportunities.

    Mansfield are also a team that is good at preventing their opponents from playing, though they’ve not quite been as imposing on the road as Colchester have been at home. In their last away matches, Mansfield lost 3-2 away against Carlisle, and rightly so as they came out of the match with an expected goal difference of -1.12. They’ve not made a habit of giving lots away, but their defensive efforts on the road have been just a little bit less eye-catching that Colchester’s at home.

    In truth, as the fact that they’re both currently inside the top six, both Colchester and Mansfield are good sides. This is a fixture that could easily go either way and there’s not much between them, though based on Colchester’s recent efforts at home and Mansfield’s recent efforts on the road, it’s easy to make a case for the hosts at the prices.

    In recent home matches, Colchester have been solid and have been consistent in that they’ve created more than the opposition game after game. In contrast, Mansfield, who’ve been very good at times on the road, have been a tad more inconsistent.

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