FSV Mainz 05 vs Rosenborg Predictions

• 3 of the last 5 matches for both sides have gone under 2.5 goals.
• Mainz generated an xg of just 0.41 in the first leg
• Rosenborg upset the German side 2-1 in the first leg

Mainz Struggling for Goals Ahead of Crucial Return Leg

Mainz host Rosenborg in the second leg of this Conference League tie. The German side will have been disappointed not to at least earn a draw from the first leg, having gone in as odds-on favourites in some places. They produced an xG of just 0.41, more than two lower than Rosenborg, who generated 2.57. Mainz did create more chances in their league game at the weekend, but once again failed to score.

Neither side tends to be involved in high-scoring matches, with three of their last five each finishing under 2.5 goals. Rosenborg hold a 2-1 lead and have something to protect. They’ve kept two clean sheets in their last five away games, and will take confidence from limiting Mainz to an xG of just 0.41 despite conceding in the first leg.

Under 2.5 goals looks the best play here. Both teams scored in the reverse fixture, and that could happen again, but it’s unlikely we’ll see more than two goals overall. A 1-1 draw looks a realistic outcome , enough to see Rosenborg through to the next round and delight their travelling fans.