Genoa vs Brescia Predictions

Struggling Genoa are set to host newly promoted Brescia in this weekend’s Serie A fixture. Genoa have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Their poor run of form leaves them currently sitting in 19th place in the Serie A table. A win for them in this Saturday’s game would lift them up above 15th placed Brescia. 

Genoa have currently got the worst defensive record in the Serie A. They have conceded a total of 20 goals this season, which is a tally that eclipses all other teams by at least 3 goals. Despite Genoa’s poor defensive record this season, we predict that this Saturday’s game is unlikely to produce a large amount of goals. 

Most of Brescia’s games this season haven’t produced a large amount of goals. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Brescia’s 7 Serie A games, this season. 

Brescia’s away defensive record has been impressive this season, they have conceded just 3 goals in 4 away games.. On top of that, they have kept a clean sheet in 2 of their 4 away games this season having only conceded on their visits to AC Milan and Napoli. 

This doesn’t bode well for a Genoa side who have been struggling in front of goal recently and have failed to score more than once in each of their last 6 games. 

We predict that this game will be low scoring as neither of these sides have been particularly convincing in front of goal this season. Brescia have taken the least amount of shots per game in the Serie A this season. They have taken an average of just 9.9 shots over their 7 Serie A games, therefore we predict that this match is likely to deliver under 2.5 goals. 

We feel that Brescia are more likely to win this game than Genoa. Genoa have lost 5 of their last 6 Serie A games. 

We feel that set-pieces are likely to play a large role in this game. Brescia have been impressive from set-pieces this season having scored 3 of their 7 Serie A goals from set-pieces which spells danger for Genoa. The home side have conceded a concerning 4 goals from set-pieces this season.

Genoa have made a total of 14.5 fouls per game in the Serie A this season. Only 4 teams have given away more fouls than Genoa. This tells us that Brescia are likely to get plenty of opportunities to make the most of their ability from set-pieces. 

Brescia have shown plenty of aerial ability this season and have won, on average, 18.6 aerials per game. This gives them the third highest amount of successful aerial challenges in the Serie A. They are likely to threaten Genoa from set-pieces in this game. 

We feel that Brescia have a good chance of sneaking a tight 1-0 win from this game.