Genoa vs Fiorentina Predictions

• Fiorentina have scored twice in eight of their last nine matches
• Genoa have conceded 20 goals this term, shipping two or more in six of their last seven
• Moise Kean is averaging a shot on target every 24 minutes across his last four appearances

Fiorentina can cruise by Grifone

Fiorentina are out to extend a five-game winning run when they visit lowly Genoa on Thursday night. The home side are in the relegation zone with just six points from their first nine games, while they boast some of the worst underlying numbers in the division.

The hosts have lost five of their last seven matches, conceding at least twice in six of those games. They have let in 20 goals across the campaign, while they’ve conceded 10 times across their five home matches.

Genoa were blown away in a 3-0 loss to Lazio at the weekend and they meet a Fiorentina side who have dismantled Roma and Lecce with 5-1 and 6-0 victories respectively. They also won 4-2 at St Gallen in Europe in between those victories. La Viola have scored twice or more in eight of their last nine and they should have too much for Genoa.

The hosts have conceded the most Expected Goals in Serie A this term and they have the fewest Expected Points. The Grifone have conceded from 15% of the shots they’ve faced and Fiorentina score at the same rate on the road, so expect at least a couple of goals for the visitors.

Fiorentina’s Moise Kean doubled his Serie A tally with a brace against Roma and he has six goals in his last 10 games for club and country. The forward has posted an xG of 0.6 or higher in six of his last eight games, while he’s averaging a shot on target every 24 minutes across his last four appearances. Take him to find the net once again.