Inter Milan vs Lecce Predictions

• Inter have scored 14 goals across their four home meetings with the bottom 10
• Lecce have the worst xG record in Serie A
• Inter Milan have the highest xG in the division, while they’ve scored 26 goals in 10 home matches

Lecce look out of their depth

Inter Milan were pegged back twice in Sunday’s clash with champions Napoli, but the Serie A leaders should have an easier time seeing off a struggling Lecce side.

The visitors have lost 10 of their 15 clashes with the sides above them, while the 16th-placed side is rock bottom of the xG table. Lecce have a league low 15.5 Expected Goals to their name, while they look outmatched against an Inter Milan side that have the best underlying numbers in the division.

Inter have a higher xG tally in their 10 home games (21.2) than Lecce have mustered across the entire Serie A campaign. The hosts have scored 26 times at San Siro, and they’ve struck at least twice in seven consecutive league matches.

Lecce’s defensive record on their travels is fine, but they’ve only made one trip to the top six. The visitors have shipped four goals in a loss at Atalanta and three at Udinese, while they’ve lost all four home meetings with Italy’s top teams.

Inter have won all nine clashes with bottom-half teams this term, while they’ve struck 14 goals across four home meetings with the bottom 10. Back them to ease to victory over Lecce, scoring a few goals in the process.