Lille vs Brest Predictions

Lille can recover from Emirates loss

Lille have won their last two home games in Ligue 1 and Davide Ancelotti’s side look set to make it three in a row when they host Brest on Saturday.

They are five places and five points above Brest in the table, with two wins, two draws and two losses from their six games this season. Lille sit second having won four, drawn one and lost one.

Lille beat Le Havre 1-0 last weekend, with Dilane Bakwa scoring the only goal of the game in the fifth minute. Lille have won four of the five games in which they’ve scored first this season (80%) and this win makes it three wins in the three matches in which they have been odds-on.

Lille are in good form, having won four of their last six Ligue 1 matches. They are unbeaten in their three home games this season and have lost just one of the last ten at home in the league.

The hosts have kept things tight at the back. Lille have conceded just four goals in six games – fewer than any other Ligue 1 side – and have kept four clean sheets in that time.

They will be optimistic of finding the net, having scored in nine of their last ten league games. They have also found the back of the net in six consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Backing Brest when they have been underdogs this season would have resulted in a 2.00-unit loss, with no wins from their two games as an underdog.

The visitors’ defence has been far from solid, with Brest failing to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their last 19 Ligue 1 games. They have conceded on all three of their away days this season.

With Lille’s games tending to finish with fewer than three goals and two of their four wins this season coming by a two-goal margin, a 2-0 home win looks a decent correct-score option.

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