FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburg Predictions

• At least four goals have been scored in three of Mainz’s last seven matches
• At least four goals have been scored in four of Hamburg’s last seven games
• Three of the last five head-to-head meetings have featured four or more goals

In-form mid-table duo are well matched 

Friday’s Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Hamburg sees two in-form clubs from the middle ranks clash at MEWA Arena. Mainz are down in 14th place with only a two-point cushion to the relegation play-off berth while Hamburg have hit the dizzy heights of ninth on the back of a five-game unbeaten run.

The hosts saw their three-match win streak ended by title-chasing Dortmund last Saturday and it could hardly have been more emphatic as they shipped three set-piece goals in a 4-0 spanking at Signal Iduna Park.

Hamburg held off a late Union Berlin comeback to earn a 3-2 win last weekend in a match which could easily have finished 4-4 or even 5-5. Union registered more shots on target and had a greater xG to show from a frantic 90 minutes.

Key defensive personnel are missing

This clash could go in a similar direction if both clubs’ recent form holds true.  At least four goals have been scored in three of Mainz’s last seven matches and in four of Hamburg’s last seven games, making the 11/5 on offer about over 3.5 goals look very tempting.

Three of the last five head-to-head meetings have featured four or more goals and with some key defensive personnel missing on both sides, chances at both ends should be abundant. Hamburg’s star centre-back Luke Vuskovic is suspended while Mainz midfielder Silvan Widmer misses out with a yellow card ban and defender Stefan Bell is injured.

Back a 2-2 draw in correct score betting because there is little to separate the sides on paper and only a four-point gap between the clubs in the table.