Montpellier vs Caen Predictions & Tips

Only three teams have a better home record than Montpellier in Ligue 1 this season.
Caen have conceded more goals than they’ve scored away from home in Ligue 2 this season.
Caen have won just one of their last eight away games in the second division.
Montpellier are Ligue 1’s fifth-best team in terms of shots on target for at home.

Hosts in form

As they currently sit in a respectable 6^th position, Montpellier are enjoying a pleasing campaign. Not only do Sunday’s hosts have themselves well placed, but they come into this match off the back of consecutive wins, winning by four goals to nil when last in action at this venue.

Home is certainly where the heart is for Montpellier this term. Michel Der Zakarian’s men have won three of their last four at home, while they’re currently the fourth-highest home point scorers in Ligue 1. They’ve also won seven of their last nine at Stade de la Mosson, scoring two or more in five of those seven. Interestingly, the only team to beat Montpellier at this venue in the last four months was league leaders and likely champions PSG.

Visitors not exactly flying

While Montpellier have thrived of late, Caen, who’ve been playing in the second division since being relegated at the end of the last campaign, have been treading water somewhat, winning just one of their last four. Such form does not bode well ahead of a match against a home side that has been thriving at the level above.

Moreover, Caen haven’t done too well on their travels either, winning just one of their last eight away games in Ligue 2. They’ve lost four of those eight, including their last two, conceding multiple goals in both. Quite frankly, their form against Ligue 2 teams is not positive in relation to this fixture.

Montpellier to progress

Whichever way we look at this fixture, it must be categorised as an opportunity for the hosts to thrive. Punters can make this one pay by siding with ‘Montpellier to Win & Over 1.5 Goals’. The hosts have an excellent record at home (in the division above), winning seven of their last nine home matches. During that time, they’ve beaten teams that are far better than Caen and have often scored at least twice in the process. Against a Ligue 2 side that has struggled in general since dropping down and that has lost two on the bounce away from home, Montpellier are backed to record a routine win.