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NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Predictions

  • 19:00
  • Expired
  • Goffertstadion
NEC
PSV

PSV to Win and Over 2.5 Match Goals

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PSV 3-1

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Tip Reasoning

  • Five of NEC’s six Eredivisie defeats also produced over 2.5 total goals.
  • Nine of PSV’s last ten Eredivisie victories saw over 2.5 total goals.
  • Only Cambuur’s league games averaged more goals per match than PSV’s (4.0).

NEC decline could continue

While NEC Nijmegen sit mid table and are winless in four league games, they are still four points better off than at this stage of their last Eredivisie campaign and they will be happy with their position of safety in their first season back at the top.

Analysing NEC’s form against general Eredivisie opposition is arguably irrelevant when one of the Eredivisie’s classic ‘Big Three’ rolls into town. Damningly, they have already played the other two once (Feyenoord, Ajax) and conceded five times in both, hinting at another long evening this time around.

PSV to overcome injury woes

The visitors have an extensive injury list ahead of this game, though they have been dealing with a threadbare squad for weeks now and still keeping touch with the title race. Victory here is much more important for PSV in terms of the title race as the hosts seem happy to tread water.

Given their aims and the fact that the main prediction would have landed in six of the last seven H2Hs, I am willing to side with history here and predict a PSV win with at least three match goals.

Finally, a joint league-high 80% of PSV’s league games saw over 2.5 goals and it is highly likely that it will happen once again as PSV sweep aside a middling NEC by a 3-1 scoreline.


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