Norway vs Moldova Predictions

• Norway have scored 13 times in their four group matches
• Moldova have lost all five games they’ve played in 2025, starting with a 5-0 loss to Norway at home
• The visitors lost 4-0 at home to Israel in their last match, shipping 3.41 Expected Goals

Another rout for Norway

Moldova’s dire 2025 isn’t likely to improve this week, as they’ve lost all five matches so far ahead of a visit to group leaders Norway.

The hosts have won all of their games in 2025, which began with a 5-0 victory in Moldova. Since then, the visitors have lost 3-2 to Estonia, 2-0 to both Poland and Italy, while they lost 4-0 at home to Israel in their last game.

Norway are good value for their bright start, creating 11.4 Expected Goals across their first four matches. They’ve put themselves in a commanding position ahead of a struggling Italy side, so they shouldn’t ease up now.

Israel created 3.41 xG in their clash last week, so an impressive Norway side should tear Moldova apart in this encounter. The hosts won 3-0 against Italy in their only home game so far, while this should be even more one-sided.

Norway are far too short to get behind, but backing over 3.5 goals appeals with the hosts averaging over four goals per game ahead of their easiest clash in this qualifying campaign.