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Birmingham vs Derby Predictions

England Championship | St Andrews | 22nd July
Birmingham badge
Birmingham
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
KO 19:30
Derby badge
Derby
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Birmingham vs Derby predictions ahead of this Championship clash on Wednesday night. Can the Blues secure all three points to end their poor run of form? Read on for our free Championship predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Both Teams To Score @ 8/13

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Derby 2-1 @ 11/1

Reason For Birmingham vs Derby Predictions

  • Birmingham haven’t won in 13 league games, losing five of their last six
  • Derby have the fewest away clean sheets in the Championship
  • Birmingham have scored in 18 of 22 home games
  • The Blues haven’t kept a home clean sheet in any of their last 16 league games here

Both sides ending on a low

Neither one of these two can be particularly happy heading into their final match of this drawn-out campaign. Derby had been playoff contenders not too long ago, boasting the best record across the Championship in 2020. However, five straight meetings with sides in the top six put paid to that, as the Rams lost four and drew one.

Birmingham City are winless in their last 13 league games (D7 L6), their longest run without a victory since March 1994 (14 games). Pep Clotet announced he’d leave at the end of the season, before going four games early after that awful run. That change still hasn’t brought any life out of the Blues, who come into this clash with five defeats in their last seven.

Positive signs for Derby

While the Rams won’t be happy with their finish, there are positive signs for them to take. Their 12th place position in the table doesn’t accurately reflect their strengths across the campaign, as they blended together young talents with a few proven Championship stars and Wayne Rooney. A final day victory will ensure they finish no more than nine-points off the playoffs, a gap which can be bridged next year.

However, first the Rams need to improve their record at the back. Derby have kept just one clean sheet on the road in the Championship this season: two fewer than any other side in the division. They’ve conceded 1.9 goals per trip so far, something which the Blues can take full advantage of, with the hosts scoring in 18 of their 22 home games this term.

Blues too vulnerable at the back

While Derby have issues, Birmingham have been waiting 16 games for a home clean sheet in the league. They’ve managed only two clean sheets at home from 22 matches, while they have conceded the fourth-highest number of goals in the division. The Rams have only failed to score once since the restart, so both teams to score is our pick for this clash.

To make matters worse for the hosts, they have an awful record against the Rams. Birmingham City have won just one of their last 13 league games against Derby (D6 L6), including a current winless run of seven matches (D2 L5). Meanwhile, Derby County are unbeaten in their last six league trips to St Andrew’s (D3 L3), scoring 15 goals in total. Following that great form at this ground, we are backing Derby to bounce back and claim a 2-1 victory in our correct score prediction.

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