Portsmouth vs Derby Predictions

Pompey’s home run to continue

Portsmouth are worth backing to beat Derby at Fratton Park on Saturday. Four of Portsmouth’s last five home games in the Championship have been victories, while Derby have lost seven of their last nine away.

Portsmouth are 17th in the Championship, four places and three points higher up the table than Derby, with 12 wins and 19 losses from their 40 games, while the visitors have won 11 and lost 21.

The hosts are the most profitable home team in the Championship this season. Backing Portsmouth to a one-point level stake in all their home games would have shown a profit of 13.90.

The visitors are enduring a difficult run of results on the road and their attack has been struggling. They have failed to score in three of their last four Championship away games, losing all three of those matches without finding the back of the net.

Their defence is also a concern. They have gone nine away games without keeping a clean sheet and have shipped 35 goals on the road this season – an average of 1.75 per game from their 20 matches away from home.

Portsmouth may be able to edge out Derby in a 2-1 home win, which is the correct-score pick. Of Portsmouth’s 12 wins this season, four were by a 2-1 scoreline, and Derby have gone down by a single goal 15 times in the Championship in 2024-25.

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Edited by Mark Langdon