PSV vs Rosenborg Predictions

• PSV simply have to win on Thursday or their European campaign will be over for the season.
• Rosenborg have been the whipping boys in Group D, losing all of their five games and only scoring two goals.
• PSV have not been at their best in league or cup this season but will be expected to win on Thursday.
• Both teams sit third in their domestic leagues and don’t currently look capable of challenging for their respective titles.

The hosts have more motivation for the points

PSV have won all of their three previous encounters with Rosenborg, winning this seasons’ reverse fixture 4-1, and the hosts have won six of their eight home games in the Eredivisie this season, only losing once while the visitors have lost five of their fifteen away games in the league, so you can begin to see why we have backed a home win this Thursday.

PSV average 2.38 points per home games and have a win rate of 75% in their own backyard, while Rosenborg average 1.07 points per away game and have lost all of their group games in the Europa League. PSV score an average of 2.88 goals per home game and concede an average of 1.13 goals and Rosenborg score an average of 1.27 goals per away game and concede an average of 1.67 goals, and it is the host’s scoring rate at home and the guest’s ability to net at least once on the road that have lead to our prediction for a 3-1 PSV win on Thursday.

Rosenborg have struggled in Europe this season

PSV’s home games produce an average of 4.00 goals and Rosenborg’s away games produce an average of 2.93 goals, providing even more reasons to expect there to be goals in Thursday’s clash. 75% of PSV’s home games have produced over 3.5 goals and the same can be said about 33% of Rosenborg’s away, which adds weight to our prediction of four goals being scored this Thursday.

Both teams scored in 62% of PSV’s home games as well as in 73% of Rosenborg’s away games and the hosts have only kept clean sheets in 25% of their home games while have only kept clean sheets in 7% of their away games, which is why we are expecting both teams to find the back of the net this Thursday. A majority of PSV Eindhoven’s wins this season have been obtained with a margin of two goals or more, eight victories to be exact, while a majority of Rosenborg’s defeats (4) this season have been by two goals or more, which adds even more weight to our prediction for a 3-1 home win.

We’re confident that PSV will win on Thursday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 3-1. The hosts have something left to play for on Thursday and simply must win and hope the other result in Group D falls in their favour to stand any chance of progressing through to the knockout stage, while Rosenborg are merely playing for pride and hoping to avoid a sixth straight defeat in Europe.