Stoke are far from the finished article but they are taking baby steps forward under recently installed head coach Narcis Pelach and look the likelier winners against basement boys QPR in the capital. QPR have won just one of 15 games, leaving their gaffer, Marti Cifuentes, under severe pressure.


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Both teams have scored in five of Montenegro&#8217;s last six matches, and the visitors have scored in all but one of their fixtures this year. Cyprus have found the net in seven of their previous eight matches, having won back-to-back home games, so both teams look capable of getting on the scoresheet.

Reason for tip

Both Teams To Score

Montenegro have won six of their nine matches this year, including four wins from five in the Nations League. The visitors have scored two or more goals in five of their previous six starts, and they are backed to secure a 2-1 victory, having won by that scoreline when these sides met in September.

Correct Score

Albania have scored 10 times across their first five matches in this group, while they&#8217;ve conceded in six of their nine matches in 2026. Belarus have put together a good run defensively, but they&#8217;ve faced 4.8 xG in five matches, so back both teams to score.

Albania have won four of their five matches in the Nations League, and they were the stronger side in terms of xG in their one defeat. A point would seal top spot for the visitors and secure promotion, and this clash is being played on neutral ground.

France have scored 37 times in 2026 and they can take that tally up to 40 in a home meeting with this group&#8217;s bottom side. Turkiye have lost all five matches so far, shipping 13 goals, and they&#8217;ve conceded three in losses at Belgium and Italy.

Team Total Goals

France have conceded the fewest Expected Goals of all four teams in this group, and they were able to keep a clean sheet in a victory in Turkiye back in September.

Olise has seven goals for France in 2026, and the winger has scored in each of his country&#8217;s previous four matches.

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Spain extended their winning start to the Nations League against the Czech Republic on Thursday but that was their first clean sheet so far and they will have their work cut out keeping England quiet, who have scored at least twice in all five assignments so far.

Both Teams To Score And Win

Spain have averaged 2.8 goals per game this Nations League campaign but they have conceded in four of them, while England have scored at least two goals in all five matches, including their 3-2 defeat at home to Spain in September.

Alex Baena scored and assisted off the bench against England in September and he found the net against the Czech Republic on Thursday, leaving him with seven goals and seven assists in 21 appearances for club and country this season.

Spain extended their winning start to the Nations League against the Czech Republic on Thursday, and they have averaged 2.8 goals per game this Nations League campaign, including a 3-2 victory at Wembley in September.

Gordon&#8217;s scoring streak for England ended on Thursday, after he found the net in four consecutive games for the Three Lions. Dating back to the first meeting with Spain, Gordon has recorded at least one shot on target in ten of his 12 appearances for club and country. His return of seven shots on target in four games during this Nations League campaign is more than any England player bar Harry Kane.

Yamal has taken 14 shots in his last four games for Spain, and seven of those came in the victory at Wembley. The winger is capable of causing England all kinds of problems, and he has taken four or more shots in his last 10 games for Barcelona.

Rogers has already been cautioned three times since moving to Chelsea, and he was shown 23 yellow cards during his two-and-a-half-year spell with Aston Villa. With a test against Marc Cucurella to come, back Rogers to be cautioned.

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Italy&#8217;s last four matches have finished with both teams scoring, and they host a Belgian side that has scored in 16 of their last 18 internationals. These sides shared plenty of chances in their first meeting, generating 4.4 xG between them, so back more goals on Sunday.

A point would be enough for Italy to secure their place in the next round of the Nations League, and they&#8217;ve scored at least twice in three of their previous four. The Azzurri were able to generate 1.7 xG in their 2-0 home defeat to Belgium, and that game could have finished 2-2 with some improved finishing from the Italians.

Croatia need only a draw to secure third place in Group A1 but they should beat Czechia, who have lost all five of their Nations League matches.  Vatreni are undefeated in their last seven against the Czechs and have won two of the last three encounters.
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Full Time Result

Croatia won 2-1 in the reverse fixture between the teams and a similar outcome could be on the cards with neither side proving particularly solid in defence this year. Three of Croatia&#8217;s last four wins have been by 2-1 scorelines.

North Macedonia finally scored against Scotland on Friday following eight games without a goal, but they may not be able to threaten Slovenia on Monday.

Win To Nil

Slovenia grabbed a 2-0 win over North Macedonia earlier in their Nations League campaign and could gain a victory by the same scoreline when the pair meet in Skopje on Monday.

The Dutch have scored 14 goals in five Nations League games against an xG of 14.3. They were able to generate 3.18 xG in their 1-1 draw with Germany in September, and 35 goals have been scored in the Netherlands&#8217; nine competitive games in 2026. Germany were 3-1 winners against Serbia on Friday, and they&#8217;ve generated an average of 2.3 xG per game in this group.

Total Goals

The Dutch are unbeaten under Xavi, and they haven&#8217;t suffered a defeat in 10 matches in total after avoiding defeat within 90 minutes during their World Cup campaign. The Dutch have scored at least twice in four straight games since topping 3.0 Expected Goals against the Germans, so back a 2-2 draw, a repeat of the result they secured in Greece, which would guarantee top spot for the away side.

Reijnders has scored hat-tricks in back-to-back matches, first in league action for Al Qadsiah before scoring another three against Greece on Friday night. He scored in the Netherlands&#8217; visit to Greece last month, and he&#8217;s netted eight goals across his last seven outings for club and country.

The two sides could not be separated in the first meeting and a repeat of that result looks good value this week. Gibraltar have only lost one in seven, while Malta are unbeaten in six contests. These two should cancel each other out on Monday.

Gibraltar have proven to be tough to beat, but they struggle to win against teams of a similar level. Their only goal in three matches came against Malta, so there&#8217;s every chance they can grab a second goal, especially with Malta already set to finish top of Group D1.

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Switzerland have already earned promotion to League A after a five-match unbeaten run and they should be able to outclass Scotland for a second time in the Nations League, having earned a 3-0 win in September.

Switzerland have enjoyed a five-match unbeaten run in the Nations League and they have built their success around their resolute defence, having kept a clean sheet in four of their matches.

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Greece suffered a humiliating 7-0 loss in the Netherlands on Firday, but their other Nations League results have been decent and they can see off Serbia, who suffered their fifth straight defeat in the competition at home to Germany.

Serbia have suffered three 2-1 defeats in their five Nations League games this season and this could be a repeat scoreline of the victory Greece claimed in Belgrade when the teams met in September.

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