Roma vs Cagliari Predictions

• Eight of Roma’s last nine games have gone under 2.5 goals
• Roma have kept ten clean sheets in 23 league outings
• The last three rivalries have gone under 2.5 goals

Defences to dominate in Rome

Roma’s quest for a top-four finish in Serie A suffered a blow with last Monday’s 1-0 defeat at Udinese and they may have to work hard to see off a resurgent Cagliari, who have eased their relegation fears with three straight victories.

The Wolves had been held to a 1-1 draw at Milan prior to disappointing in Udine and low-scoring matches have been a common theme for Gian Piero Gasperini’s side.

Only one of Roma’s last nine matches have gone over 2.5 goals, with their 23 league games featuring only 41 goals at an average of 1.78 out per outing.

With only 14 goals conceded, Roma boast the meanest defence in the Italian top-flight, but firepower remains an issue with top scorer Matias Soule on just six.

So, having beaten Verona, Fiorentina and Juventus in their last three outings, Cagliari will be confident of offering stiff resistance and they did win December’s reverse fixture 1-0.

That means the last three meetings between the sides have featured a total of just two goals, with Roma edging to a hard-fought 1-0 victory in this fixture at the Stadio Olimpico in March last season.

So back under 2.5 goals looks the most prudent play and correct-score bettors should side with a 1-0 home win. The Wolves have kept ten clean sheets in 23 league outings and five of their 14 league victories have ended that way.