A 2-0 win against Liechtenstein on Friday kept Sweden’s hopes for a 2nd placed finish in Group G of the Euro 2016 qualifiers alive coming into the final game of the campaign.
But they are relying on other results, needing Russia to lose at home to Montenegro if they are to make up the two point deficit and massive gulf in goal difference.
They have picked up 15 points from their nine group games so far, and it was the back to back losses against Russia and Austria in September that consigned the Swedes to rely on other results.
They will be very confident of beating Moldova though. The visitors have only managed to pick up two points from their nine matches, with those coming from draws against Russia and Liechtenstein.
Both of these draws were away from home though, so there is a slight chance that they could avoid picking up their 8th defeat of the campaign on Monday.
If they were to do the unthinkable and win in Stockholm they could move away from the bottom spot of Group G, relegating Liechtenstein to the foot of the group.
That would be a very surprising result though, as the visitors have lost all of their six past meetings with Sweden.
Sweden have scored an average of three goals per game against Moldova, only conceding three in their six games.
Sweden have all the incentive to go for the win on Monday, so I certainly don’t think they’ll be taking it easy on the minnows. I don’t fancy Moldova to avoid a fourth straight defeat in this one, so I’m backing a Sweden -2 Handicap Win at 13/10 along with a Sweden to Win to Nil bet at 8/13.