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UCD vs Derry City Predictions

  • 18:45
  • Expired
  • UCD Bowl
UCD
Derry City

Derry City Under 2.5 Team Goals

4/6odds when tipped
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Derry City 2-0

5/1odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

  • Just 13 of UCD’s 40 conceded goals came at home.
  • Derry scored two or fewer goals in 13 of their last 14 away games.
  • UCD conceded three times in a home game just once in this calendar year.

Finding value in David vs Goliath encounter

With rock-bottom UCD welcoming potential title chasers Derry, it is unsurprising that the market is heavily one sided here. The hosts are double figure odds for a win at the time of writing, though there is something of a case to be made for them to at least avoid a landslide defeat, similar to the last meeting which saw Derry hit UCD for seven.

Notably, 27 of UCD’s 40 conceded league goals this season came away from home, with the more familiar surroundings of UCD Bowl seemingly helping the Students to shore up the defence.

As such, only league leaders Shamrock Rovers put three past them here this season, though they are yet to win a home game, so perhaps leaving the 10/1 odds alone could prove wise.

One way traffic?

Derry will be fully expected to take the three points in this encounter despite suffering something of a wobble lately with a seven-game winless run seeing their title credentials take a real hit. However, travelling to UCD could be just the confidence boost that they need.

Derry have scored at least three times in four of their last six visits to UCD Bowl, though we predict that one of the few ways to find value in this clash is backing against them to do so again.

Considering Derry’s rotten run of results and UCD’s relative solidity at home (despite being rock-bottom and winless), we are going for Derry to score under 2.5 team goals. As such, a 2-0 away win seems like a very possible final scoreline.

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