Valencia vs Mallorca Predictions

• Unbeaten at home since September, Valencia have won four of their last six La Liga games at the Mestalla
• Mallorca have lost six of their last nine away league games
• Fewer than three goals have been scored in six of Valencia’s last nine home league games and eight of Mallorca’s last nine on the road

Value in Valencia’s odds

There is Value in Valencia’s price of odds-against for Saturday’s home clash against a Mallorca team that may have one eye on next week’s Copa del Rey Final.

Los Che’s impressive home record means they should always be fancied to win such a game against a team among the division’s worst travellers.

Ruben Baraja’s side have won eight, drawn four and lost two at the Mestalla, but their last defeat was way back in September. Since then, they have beaten the likes of Athletic Bilbao and drawn against Real Madrid and Barcelona at their stadium.

Mallorca’s approach has not been working

Mallorca, although they have done well in the cup, are not in the class of those teams and should fall to yet another away defeat. Their results suggest a gameplan of keeping it tight and hoping to nick a goal, but that approach has only brought them three away points in their last nine outings.

Valencia have shut out their opponents in eight of their home games this term and won six of those, so there is a good chance that any victory is accompanied by a clean sheet.

But, given Baraja’s side have not scored more than two goals in any of their last five home games and only twice all season, the best play in the book here is to back Valencia to win with fewer than three goals in the match.