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Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest Predictions

  • 14:00
  • Expired
  • Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton
Nottingham Forest

Wolverhampton to Win

Reason for tip

Wolves have won three of their last seven home games against promoted clubs and have lost only once at Molineux this season. Nottingham Forest have been on a horrid run and have lost three of their four Premier League away games with an aggregate score of 13-1.

 

7/10odds when tipped
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Wolverhampton 2-1

Reason for tip

Wolves have won eight of their last 13 home games against Forest with an aggregate score 21-13 in their favour, which suggests a 2-1 victory may not be out of the question. The visitors have shipped an average of over three goals per game away from home, but Wolves are the division’s least potent side overall.

17/2odds when tipped
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Ruben Neves To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Ruben Neves has scored three goals in his last 11 home appearances for Wolves. The skipper returns from a one-game suspension and will be fully refreshed for it.

15/4odds when tipped
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Wolverhampton vs Nottingham Forest Predictions

  • Wolves have won three of their last seven home games against promoted clubs.
  • Nottingham Forest have lost three of their four Premier League away games with an aggregate score of 13-1.
  • Ruben Neves has scored three goals in his last 11 home appearances for Wolves.

Wolves boosted by return of pack leader 

Based on their performances this season, Wolves should not be in the relegation zone and Saturday’s home game against Nottingham Forest is a chance to drag themselves clear of a fellow struggler.

The Molineux men have lacked leadership at times this season and, although they will still be without a permanent manager for the visit of Forest, the return of captain Ruben Neves from suspension will be a huge boost here.

Without the Portuguese star in their ranks at Stamford Bridge last week, Wolves wilted once they went 1-0 down to Chelsea and eventually lost 3-0 to the Blues. Diego Costa has had little impact since coming in and looks like a big gamble at the moment in a season which seems destined to be a relegation scrap.

Analytics suggest Wolves should be out of drop zone

But Wolves would not be in the bottom three if their finishing had matched their build-up play and their opponents had not outperformed their xG. Analytics suggest they should have collected three or four more points to put them alongside the likes of Crystal Palace, Southampton and Everton.

Forest, on the other hand, are more or less where they should be in 19th place. They have scored a couple of fewer goals than expected and conceded around six more than the 22 they have shipped through the first quarter of the campaign.

Steve Cooper’s side have been woeful on the road and are worth opposing even at the long odds they receive for this fixture. The Reds have lost on three of their four top flight trips without finding the net and should have lost at Everton, despite taking the lead in the 81st minute.

Haunted Henderson becoming a problem?

After starting the season in fine form, goalkeeper Dean Henderson is now beginning to look like a haunted man as shot after shot flies past him into the Forest net. He remains the most overworked keeper in the division, but now shows a -3.61 figure for goals prevented, which suggests he could be doing more.

Neves’ return to the Wolves line-up should boost their woeful goal expectancy too with some local reports suggesting he could be pushed forward this week after Matheus Nunes’ confident showing in the double pivot at Stamford Bridge. The ex-Porto star has hit three goals in his last 11 home Premier League appearances and looks to be a value pick in a weak anytime goalscorer field here.

Despite still being in managerial limbo, Wolves look more likely to get something from this game than Forest and are tentatively taken to win at the odds-on quote. The Molineux side have won eight of their last 13 home games against Forest with an aggregate score 21-13 in their favour, which suggests a 2-1 victory may not be out of the question.

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