Football Betting Tips

City have won seven of their last nine games, while Aston Villa’s 2-1 defeat to Go Ahead Eagles in midweek came after a string of matches where their xG tally suggested they were fortunate to win.

Roma are backed to beat Sassuolo away from home. They sit fourth in Serie A, five places above their hosts, and have won all three away games this season. Roma have also won ten of their last 12 league away matches and are unbeaten in nine of their last ten overall.

Bayer Leverkusen are tipped to beat Freiburg at the BayArena. The hosts are fifth in the Bundesliga and unbeaten in six of the last seven meetings. They’ve scored in 12 consecutive matches and netted at least three goals in three of their seven league games this season.

Rennes look well placed to secure another home win against a Nice side struggling on their travels. The hosts are unbeaten in four at Roazhon Park and have lost just once in eight Ligue 1 games overall. Nice have conceded at least twice in all three away matches this season, and Rennes’ attacking form should see them take advantage.

Aston Villa fell to a 2-1 defeat to Go Ahead Eagles on Thursday, despite generating 2.8 Expected Goals in the loss. However, that was only the third time this season in which Villa have won the xG battle, something they’ve done only once in the Premier League.Villa’s recent five-game winning run saw them generate only 4.7 xG, while Erling Haaland has 4.9 xG across his last five league games alone. With Villa tending to concede better chances than they create, it’s hard to have faith in them against a City side who have won seven of their last nine.

Metz sit bottom of the Ligue 1 ladder after picking up just two points from eight games, and another heavy defeat is on the cards on Sunday.The division’s worst defence have conceded 15 of their 20 goals in just four away games, conceding at least three goals in each of those trips, and they face a Lille side that put three past PAOK in midweek.

Rennes have had a frustrating run of five draws in their last six Ligue 1 games but they should be backed to take maximum points in Sunday’s home fixture against Nice.The hosts have let slip leads in four of those five draws so more ruthlessness is required against Nice, who faced 29 shots in last weekend’s 3-2 home win over Lyon.Nice had to play with ten men for more than 50 minutes in Thursday’s 2-1 Europa League defeat at Celta Vigo and Rennes have an impressive home record, beating in-form Marseille and Lyon and holding highflying Lens to a 0-0 draw.

Two-time Conference League runners-up Fiorentina are again enjoying themselves in Europe, winning both of their League Phase games to nil, but their domestic form remains a worry.La Viola are still searching for a first away win of the season, having lost four and drawn three of their opening seven games, but that is unlikely to arrive when they host Bologna.The visitors have won each of their last three games, scoring eight goals in the process, and look the much stronger side, especially with Fiorentina losing three Serie A home matches in a row.

Over 2.5 goals is the recommended bet when Feyenoord host PSV. Feyenoord have scored three or more in three of their last four Eredivisie games, while 17 of PSV’s last 20 league matches have gone over 2.5. Both teams are prolific and have struggled to keep clean sheets recently.

Bournemouth have not lost in the league since the opening night of the season and have taken 10 points from a possible 12 at the Vitality. While Forest will be buoyed by beating Porto in Sean Dyche’s first match in charge, like so many of their recent meetings with the Cherries, this looks set to end in defeat.

Lille scored three in a seven-goal thriller against PAOK in midweek and come up against Ligue 1’s worst defence on Sunday. Metz have conceded 20 times in eight games and 15 of those have come away from home, with the visitors conceding three or more in all four away matches.

Over 3.5 goals looks the standout play at Ibrox. Four of the last six meetings between these sides have passed that mark, and both teams have been involved in plenty of open contests this season. Rangers’ defensive issues and Kilmarnock’s willingness to attack suggest another high-scoring, end-to-end clash is likely.

42 goals have been scored in the last nine El Clasicos and both teams have scored in seven of these. Each of Barcelona’s last six games have featured goals at both ends and over 2.5 goals has landed in their last nine.

Arsenal are in stellar defensive form, shipping only three goals in eight games – putting them on course to beat the all-time record of 15 in a season. Palace should approach this clash similiar to their 0-0 draw at Chelsea in their opener, while they meet an Arsenal side who have seen under 2.5 goals in eight of 12 games this term.

City have won seven of their last nine games and each of their last three without conceding, while Aston Villa’s 2-1 defeat to Go Ahead Eagles in midweek came after a string of matches where their xG tally suggested they were fortunate to win.

Wolves have not won any of their last 12 Premier League games while Burnley have beaten Sunderland and Leeds already this season. The visitors have struggled to get up the pitch against the top clubs when Scott Parker has deployed five at the back, but he should keep faith with the 4-3-3 system that earned them a win last week here.

Bournemouth have not lost in the league since the opening night of the season and have taken 10 points from a possible 12 at the Vitality. While Forest will be buoyed by beating Porto in Sean Dyche’s first match in charge, like so many of their recent meetings with the Cherries, this looks set to end in defeat.

Arsenal are in stellar defensive form, shipping only three goals in eight games – putting them on course to beat the all-time record of 15 in a season. They have won to nil in three of their four home games this term and have kept five clean sheets in their last six.

City have won seven of their last nine games and each of their last three without conceding, while Aston Villa’s 2-1 defeat to Go Ahead Eagles in midweek came after a string of matches where their xG tally suggested they were fortunate to win.

Wolves have not won any of their last 12 Premier League games while Burnley have beaten Sunderland and Leeds already this season. The visitors have struggled to get up the pitch against the top clubs when Scott Parker has deployed five at the back, but he should keep faith with the 4-3-3 system that earned them a win last week here.

While Everton sit 12th in the table ahead of this weekend’s fixtures, they are unbeaten at home in the Premier League and have gained eight points from four games. Tottenham have the best away record in the top flight, picking up 10 points in four matches and these two sides may cancel each other out.

Antoine Semenyo has six Premier League goals for Bournemouth this season and he netted a brace in their most recent home fixture against Fulham. Having scored in both meetings with Forest last term, the Ghanaian is a prime contender to get on the scoresheet.

Bukayo Saka has scored in both of his home starts in the Premier League this season, while he had five shots in the midweek win over Atletico Madrid.

Haaland has scored in 12 straight games for club and country, while he has 24 goals in 14 appearances this term. He’s only failed to score in one Premier League outing this season, while he’s responsible for 65% of City’s league goals this term.

Jaidon Anthony is averaging 0.28 expected goals per 90 minutes this season, which is the most of any player at either club. The ex-Bournemouth winger has scored four goals in eight Premier League matches this term.

Everton’s Iliman Ndiaye scored against Tottenham last season and he is expected to star in Sunday’s meeting on Merseyside. He has scored three goals and six of his 11 shots in all competitions have been on target. He is Everton’s primary penalty taker and will fancy his chances of causing Tottenham problems in the final third.

Lille scored three in a seven-goal thriller against PAOK in midweek and come up against Ligue 1’s worst defence on Sunday. Metz have conceded 20 times in eight games and 15 of those have come away from home, with the visitors conceding three or more in all four away matches.

Hibernian can build on last week’s emphatic 4-0 win over Livingston and end Aberdeen’s revival at Pittodrie. The visitors have scored at least twice in five of their eight Premiership games, while Aberdeen have failed to net in three of their last four at home. Hibs’ sharper attack should be enough to edge this one.

Real Madrid have excelled under Xabi Alonso, winning 15 of their 18 games under the Spaniard. However, the one major blemish on that record is last month’s 5-2 hammering at rivals Atletico. Barcelona, who scored eight goals while winning both La Liga El Clasicos last term, will smell blood based on that performance and may upset the odds in the capitals.

Lorient look the value to take all three points at Angers. The hosts have won just once in nine Ligue 1 outings and are struggling for goals, netting only three times at home this season. Lorient have been more clinical and should capitalise against an Angers side who have failed to keep a clean sheet in ten of their last 12 at home.

Bayer Leverkusen are tipped to beat Freiburg at the BayArena. The hosts are fifth in the Bundesliga and unbeaten in six of the last seven meetings. They’ve scored in 12 consecutive matches and netted at least three goals in three of their seven league games this season. They could concede to a Freiburg side that have seen both teams score in eight of their last ten Bundesliga games, though.

Utrecht have lost their last four away games and head to Alkmaar as big underdogs. They have scored in six of their nine trips, though, so may get a consolation against a home side that have conceded in five of their seven at home, winning five and drawing two.

Auxerre look a strong play to take three points at home to Le Havre. The visitors have lost three of their last four away games and conceded ten goals in those trips. With Le Havre winless in four on the road and Auxerre generally solid at home, the hosts are well placed to capitalise. Both teams have scored in 17 of Le Havre’s last 20 league matches, though, so they should get on the scoresheet.

Rennes look well placed to secure another home win against a Nice side struggling on their travels. The hosts are unbeaten in four at Roazhon Park and have lost just once in eight Ligue 1 games overall. Nice have conceded at least twice in all three away matches this season, and Rennes’ attacking form should see them take advantage, although both teams have scored in six of Nice’s eight Ligue 1 outings.

Juventus have two wins to nil to their name in Serie A this term, while their games have become lower-scoring of late following a couple of thrilling clashes with Inter and Dortmund. Lazio created just 0.25 xG against Atalanta last weekend, so back Juve to win 1-0.

A 2-1 Lyon win looks most likely. Thirteen of the last 15 meetings between these clubs have seen both sides score, and Lyon’s strong home attack should again find a way through. Strasbourg’s defence has been leaking goals on the road, but their ability to grab one themselves points to a narrow Lyon success.

Dallas were stronger away than at home during the regular season, with only four of their 12 defeats coming on the road. The visitors scored 1.59 goals per away trip, while they were surprise 2-1 winners in the first meeting in this best-of-three series. BTTS has landed in each of Vancouver’s last six outings.

Portland lost 4-0 to San Diego in their final game of the regular season, before beating Real Salt Lake 3-1 in the wildcard round. The hosts have a mixed defensive record this term, conceding a goal per game at home, so back them to win and concede against a Portland side who lost eight of 17 regular season trips.

Dallas were stronger away than at home during the regular season, with only four of their 12 defeats coming on the road. The visitors scored 1.59 goals per away trip, while they were surprise 2-1 winners in the first meeting in this best-of-three series. BTTS has landed in each of Vancouver’s last six outings.

42 goals have been scored in the last nine El Clasicos and both teams have scored in seven of these. Each of Barcelona’s last six games have featured goals at both ends and over 2.5 goals has landed in their last nine.

Utrecht have lost their last four away games and head to Alkmaar as big underdogs. They have scored in six of their nine trips, though, so may get a consolation against a home side that have conceded in five of their seven at home, winning five and drawing two.

Auxerre look a strong play to take three points at home to Le Havre. The visitors have lost three of their last four away games and conceded ten goals in those trips. With Le Havre winless in four on the road and Auxerre generally solid at home, the hosts are well placed to capitalise. Both teams have scored in 17 of Le Havre’s last 20 league matches, though, so they should get on the scoresheet.

Rennes look well placed to secure another home win against a Nice side struggling on their travels. The hosts are unbeaten in four at Roazhon Park and have lost just once in eight Ligue 1 games overall. Nice have conceded at least twice in all three away matches this season, and Rennes’ attacking form should see them take advantage, although both teams have scored in six of Nice’s eight Ligue 1 outings.

Both teams to score looks the standout bet when Braga face Casa Pia. The hosts have gone three home games without a clean sheet, while Casa Pia have scored in four straight league matches. Braga’s defence has been leaky early in games, and with both sides regularly finding the net, another BTTS outcome looks highly likely.

Osasuna are tipped to beat Celta Vigo at El Sadar, where they have won seven of their last eight home games. The hosts are unbeaten in their last eight at home and have conceded just two goals in four home league matches this season, highlighting their defensive strength and consistency.

Juventus have lost two games on the spin, but they should prove too strong for a Lazio side who have lost to nil in three of their four clashes with sides above them. The hosts have endured a difficult campaign and while they’ve drawn their last two, they were comprehensively outplayed in each.

Lyon look the bet to claim all three points at home to Strasbourg. Paulo Fonseca’s side have won eight of their last ten Ligue 1 games at the Groupama Stadium and remain solid defensively, conceding only twice in four home fixtures this term. With Strasbourg struggling for clean sheets, home advantage should prove key.

Both teams to score looks the standout bet when Braga face Casa Pia. The hosts have gone three home games without a clean sheet, while Casa Pia have scored in four straight league matches. Braga’s defence has been leaky early in games, and with both sides regularly finding the net, another BTTS outcome looks highly likely.